March 10, 2010

2010 Season Forecast: Pittsburgh Pirates

Last Five Years:
2009: 62 – 99 (6th, NL Central)
2008: 67 – 95
2007: 68 – 94
2006: 67 – 95
2005: 67 – 95

The Pirates won 79 games in 1997, which is the closest they have come to a winning season since 1992.

Runs Scored: 636 (Last, NL)
Runs Allowed: 768 (12th, NL)

Season Recap:

While we could hope that the Pirates would finally break the streak of losing seasons, most people figured that getting past 70 wins for the first time since 2004 would be an improvement…

Actually, the Pirates got out in front with decent April pitching.  After sweeping Florida and taking two from San Diego, Pittsburgh stood at 11 – 7.  Unfortunately, such heady days ended quickly as the Pirates went on to lose 14 of 17 as the offense stopped scoring any runs.  To their credit, the Pirates came back and had a winning June and on the 27th, the Pirates had gotten to within four games of .500

At this point, the Pirates sold out.  Nate McLouth was traded to Atlanta for a couple of prospects.  Nyjer Morgan went to Washington for Lastings Milledge (not sure why, either), Jack Wilson was sent to Seattle with a struggling Ian Snell.  Freddy Sanchez was packaged to San Francisco, and even former ace Tom Gorzelanny was shipped to Chicago with reliever John Grabow.

So, a team that actually was playing pretty well collapsed while testing a bunch of new guys, mixing in a variety of losing streaks between four and nine games long until they were fighting off the possibility of losing 100 games.  The Pirates lost 60 of their last 87 games.  Personally, I don’t know why the Pirates would want to ruin their season that way, but that’s just me.

Pitching:

Unlike Cincinnati, who had a few guys log a lot of innings but not one who was even SLIGHTLY above league average, the Pirates had a couple of decent arms.  Ross Ohlendorf got rolling down the stretch to win 11 games and save his team about seven extra runs in his 177 innings.  Zach Duke, usually a disappointment, logged 213 decent innings, walking just 49 guys, and edging nearly four runs better than the average guy.  Teams need Zach Dukes.  The Pirates wanted him to be an ace, which he is not, but Duke isn’t a problem.  Charlie Morton came over from Atlanta and was tolerable in his 18 starts.  Paul Maholm logged nearly 195 innings and wasn’t death.  Sometimes he looked pretty good.

What strikes you, however, in looking at the Pirates staff is the lack of a POWER arm.  Who on the staff strikes out a batter per inning?  Heck – who strikes out six per nine?  Nobody.  The closest thing the Pirates have to a live arm is Evan Meek, who had 42 Ks in 47 innings out of the pen, but his control keeps him from being a real stopper.  If you look at the guys who logged at least, say, 60 innings, you have nobody that blows you away.  The leader in strikeouts was Maholm with just 119.

Anyway – let’s look at what the Pirate rotation is going forward.  Maholm is back, as is Ohlendorf and Duke.  A full year of Charlie Morton – assuming he stays near league average as he did last year and doesn’t take a step back – will be better than what Ian Snell did last year (2 – 8, 5.36).  That leaves the fifth spot up for grabs.  Kevin Hart, acquired from Chicago for John Grabow, was miserable in his ten starts last year (1 – 8, 6.92) but really isn’t that bad.  Personally, I’d like to see Daniel McCutchen get a shot.  He got six decent starts down the stretch after going 13 – 6 with a 3.47 ERA and just 29 walks in 142.2 innings at Indianapolis.  He HAS to be better than what Kevin Hart did last year.

The Pirates are auditioning a ton of castoffs with Non-Roster Invites – a scary list of guys like Brian Burres, Jeff Karstens, Tyler Yates, and Jeremy Powell.  I don’t see any of these guys getting jobs other than those available in, say, Indianapolis.

The bullpen will be different.  After a rough year of Matt Capps, the Pirates signed Octavio Dotel to be the new closer.  Dotel has been a premium set up man, but as a closer he’s never really been up to the task – and that scares me.  Brendan Donnelly was signed (turns 39 on July 4th) to join Joel Hanrahan (my pick as future closer), Evan Meek, and Donnie Veal in the pen.  This is an eclectic mix of arms that I think improves if Kevin Hart is added to long relief and McCutchen is put in the rotation.

On the whole, however, I do see an improvement.  My take on it is that the starting rotation should be 20 runs better than last year.  It’s not enough.  They need a real ace to step forward – and Ohlendorf may be that guy – someone who is 20 – 30 runs above the league.  And to be really competitive, they need two.  I don’t see two of them here.  I see five guys who are within ten runs of league average over 200 innings – a bunch of third and fourth starters.

The bullpen may be better if only some of the guys logging innings (Jeff Karstens, Virgil Vasquez, and Chris Bootcheck) won’t be there.  But I don’t have strong faith that the eighth and ninth innings will be solid.  Let’s call it a wash.

Catching:

A full season of Ryan Doumit would help.  Doumit missed half the season, forcing Jason Jaramillo, not an offensive force, into the lineup.  Doumit is a middle of the order guy and could add 20 runs by hanging around for 130 games this year.  Defensively, this isn’t a strong group, being below average in team numbers (ERA, W-L PCT), fielding percentage, and being slightly mistake prone.  I’m not sure that Doumit will improve these numbers, but he’s the best Pirate against the running game and makes fewer mistakes than Robinson Diaz – who is NOT ready for the big leagues.

Infield:

Adam LaRoche is also gone – forgot to mention him in the selloff comment.  In his place might be Garrett Jones, who showed his slugging skills and wasn’t embarrassing at first base.  I don’t know that he’s going to be a huge step forward from LaRoche defensively, but you never know.  Jones hit 21 homers in 82 games – and a full season of that would be a huge step forward.  If not Jones, the Pirates may try Seattle prospect Jeff Clement there.  Clement has, at times, looked like the real deal in the minors but hasn’t put it all together in the bigs.  The Pirates would make immediate and big improvements if they would just move 2008 first round pick Pedro Alvarez here and call it good.

After Freddy Sanchez left, Delwyn Young took over and was a step back offensively and defensively.  Sanchez was creating about 5.5 runs per 27 outs; Young about 4.3.  Sanchez has slightly below average range (-3.9 plays per 800 balls in play), but Young was brutal (-10.2 per 800 balls in play).  To solve this problem, the Pirates picked up former Tampa Ray Akinora Iwamura.  Iwamura should be more like Sanchez in terms of range and batting.  Not playing Young is worth ten runs of offense.

Jack Wilson is gone and Ronny Cedeno is now the new shortstop.  Cedeno is a better fielder than Wilson these days – which could be worth ten runs over the course of a season – and was pretty much the same hitter.  Bobby Crosby arrives looking for a chance to play, but he’ll likely be a bench player for now.

Andy LaRoche finally got a shot at third base in the big leagues and proved to be a fantastic glove, but a league average hitter.  I like his chances of improving at the plate, however, now that he has a full season under his belt.

Looking forward, I see this team being about twenty runs better offensively and perhaps another twenty better defensively.  Unless, of course, Jeff Clement gets more playing time.  My fear is, in looking at the current depth chart, that Clement is going to get every chance at making the starting lineup.  If this happens, I’d go with no offensive improvement and only ten runs better defensively.

Outfield:

Wouldn’t it have been fun to see an outfield of, say, Jason Bay in left, Andrew McCutchen in center, and Nate McLouth in right?

Instead, McCutchen arrives as the full-time centerfielder.  He was a bit rough in the outfield last year, but he’ll be better – and he showed power, patience, and speed as an offensive force.  I like him a LOT.  And the other two guys are gone.

Garrett Jones will likely start in right field, which will be better than Brandon Moss offensively – but likely ten runs worse (or more) defensively.  Ryan Church is around, as is Moss.  Church used to be good until two nasty concussions clipped his 2008 season and likely affected his 2009 season.

In left, expect Lastings Milledge to get one last shot to make things work.  Milledge, to me, is the new Delmon Young.  He SHOULD be better, but is really nothing special.  Moss and Nyjer Morgan were great defenders and will be missed with this outfield.

I see the outfield being down this year – perhaps ten to twenty runs down offensively and twenty runs defensively.  If Milledge lives up to former top prospect expectations, it would help.  I just don’t buy it.

Prospects:

Well, the top pitchers in AAA (McCutchen, Morton, Vaszquez) are already in town.  Even Denny Bautista and Steven Jackson were given shots and didn’t take the world by storm.  The top AAA hitters are in Pittsburgh now, too.

Pedro Alvarez tore up AA playing for the Altoona Curve, hitting .333 with power.  He really needs to be on the Pirates now.  Gorkys Hernandez has great speed, and is 22 – but he needs to improve his OBP.  Jose Tabata, 21, is close to making it – he hit well enough at Altoona to get moved up to Indianapolis.  Not much power, better OBP than Hernandez with good contact skills, and decent speed.  Just not sure he’ll be better than a fourth outfielder at this point.  I think he can play some, though.  If Ryan Church doesn’t stay healthy, Tabata will get a shot.

The best pitchers at Altoona was probably Brad Lincoln (some power, good control) but it was the only time he looked solid since being drafted out of the University of Houston in the first round (2006).  He shares a birthday with the author, though, so he’s on my radar…  Former first round pick Daniel Moskos (2007) has control, but doesn’t blow people away – 77Ks in 149 innings.

Moving to Lynchburg, top picks Jordy Mercer (3rd Round, 2008) and Chase D’Arnaud (4th Round, 2008) started to show signs of progress.  Mercer might develop some power, while D’Arnaud seems to have a more well rounded game.  Both outhit Alvarez at A+ ball, but neither are REALLY better hitters…  You’ll see that when they get to AA.

On the whole, it’s hard to see who is going to help the Pirates, other than Alvarez, in the next year or two.

Outlook:

If the Pirates were serious about this, they’d get Jones in the outfield, move Alvarez to first base and play him now, and let both McCutchens play as often as possible.  This isn’t going to happen this spring, and as such, the Pirates have to hope for minor improvements.  I see the team scoring about 670 runs and allowing 740.  That gets them to 73 wins, which would look great compared to the last five years.  However, with the Reds and Brewers likely improving – it might not get to 73.  It might barely get to 70…

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Filed under Adam LaRoche, Akinori Iwamura, Andrew McCutchen, Andy LaRoche, Bobby Crosby, Brad Lincoln, Brendan Donnelly, Brian Burres, Charlie Morton, Chase D'Arnaud, Chris Bootcheck, Daniel McCutchen, Daniel Moskos, Delmon Young, Delwyn Young, Denny Bautista, Donald Veal, Evan Meek, Freddy Sanchez, Gorkys Hernandez, Ian Snell, Jack Wilson, Jason Bay, Jason Jaramillo, Jeff Clement, Jeff Karstens, Joel Hanrahan, John Grabow, Jordy Mercer, Jose Tabata, Kevin Hart, Lastings Milledge, Matt Capps, Nate McLouth, Nyjer Morgan, Octavio Dotel, Paul Maholm, Pedro Alvarez, Pittsburgh Pirates, Robinson Diaz, Ronny Cedeno, Ross Ohlendorf, Ryan Church, Ryan Doumit, Season Forecast, Steven Jackson, Tom Gorzelanny, Tyler Yates, Virgil Vasquez, Zach Duke

March 3, 2010

2010 Season Forecast: Cincinnati Reds

Last Five Seasons:
2009: 78 – 84 (4th NL Central)
2008: 74 – 88
2007: 72 – 90
2006: 80 – 82
2005: 73 – 89

The Reds haven’t had a winning season since going 85 – 77 in 2000.  It’s time to fix this problem, don’t you think?

Runs Scored: 673 (10th in the NL)
Runs Allowed: 723 (8th in the NL)

Season Recap:

Most observers were mixed, but one could see hope on the horizon in guys like Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, and what looked like four potentially good starters.  I’m sure the Reds fans thought they should have finished better than .500.

The Reds actually got off to a pretty good start.  At one point, Cincinnati was 20 – 14 with Johnny Cueto at 4 – 1, Bronson Arroyo at 5 – 2 and Edinson Volquez at 4 – 2.  And then the bad things started to happen.  Joey Votto got hurt – and his confidence was suddenly shaken, requiring extra time to come to grips with being out of the lineup and being without his father who had passed away.  Volquez went down with an arm injury, taking their ace out of the rotation.  After two months looking like a contender, the Reds fell off in June and then fell APART in July.

Cincinnati was 40 – 39 on the Fourth of July.  And then the roof caved in falling all the way to 45 – 61 after a loss to Chicago on August 3.  The team couldn’t hit – as a group, they batted .240 or less in June, July and August.  In July, Red pitchers had an ERA of 5.58 and while August was better, it was their second worst complete month.

To their credit, the Reds unloaded a few problems (Edwin Encarnacion was traded to Toronto for Scott Rolen, Alex Gonzalez was sent to Boston and Paul Janish played shortstop), and got Willy Taveras and his lousy bat out of the leadoff spot.  Homer Bailey finally started pitching like a winner.  Justin Lehr replaced Micah Owings in the rotation and won five of eight decisions.  The rest of the way, the Reds went 33 – 23, which was better than even St. Louis down the stretch.

Pitchers:

Having looked at the numbers, adjusting for the defense and the park, I noticed this odd fact.  Every pitcher who made a start allowed more runs per nine than the average NL pitcher – a combined 77 runs worse than average.  Bronson Arroyo was the closest to average at -0.95, and having pitched the most innings, he’s the ace.  Johnny Cueto had his second straight season of running out of gas – he needs to step up big time in 2010.  Aaron Harang should be better than this (6 – 14, 4.21)), and yet he’s constantly moving backwards.  Micah Owings is the best hitting pitcher ever, probably, but he would have fit in with the Brewers rotation as badly as he pitched.  Homer Bailey was on the way to positives, but he didn’t quite make it before the season ended.  Even Edinson Volquez didn’t fare exceedingly well in his nine starts.

So, that the Reds went out of the box and signed Aroldis Chapman – who may wind up the fifth starter (crazy, I know it) – was a HUGE step forward.  The 20 year old with a 102 mile an hour fastball might start the year in AA, but in a year or two, he could be a serious ace.

If the Reds want to win, their starters have to step up.  Arroyo has to hold steady, Harang has to find his mojo, Cueto has to become a REAL #2 starter, and Bailey has to make 25 good starts and not 10.  The guy who might make this interesting, but isn’t guaranteed a roster spot is Matt Maloney, who had seven tolerable starts but gave up nine homers.  Everything else looks good (28Ks against 8 walks, for example).

The bullpen was pretty good, though.  Francisco Cordero was great, Nick Massett was solid, and even Arthur Rhodes – who pitched in Baltimore when Mike Flanagan was still pitching – was really good.  If Maloney isn’t going to start, he’s a good long relief option.  After that, you have a few “ifs” in Danny Herrera, Carlos Fisher, and Jared Burton.  These are guys who aren’t bad and would help more IF they could also step forward.

I like Harang to come back some, Cueto and Bailey to improve some more, and Micah Owings to play right field before too long.  I see at least a 25 run net gain.  A streak of confidence might make it 50.  That’s optimistic, though.

Catchers:

It’s the same group as last year – Ramon Hernandez and Ryan Hanigan.  Combined, they provided slightly better than league average catching, and slightly below average hitting.  The hope, I guess, is that Hernandez stays healthy, but he’s turning 34 in May, so I wouldn’t bet the farm on it.

Infielders:

Joey Votto is the real deal – like Ryan Braun, Votto is a threat to win a triple crown.  It would be nice if the Reds wouldn’t do goofy things like force Ramon Hernandez to first base, but when Votto went down, Dusty Baker decided that Hernandez was Victor Martinez.  He’s not.  (He’s actually a better fielder, but not a hitter.)

Brandon Phillips remains a great second baseman; durable, a defender, and one of the most productive players in the game.

After a year of letting Alex Gonzalez try to regain his youth, the Reds are going with veteran Orlando Cabrera.  This HAS to go better, wouldn’t you think?  Paul Janish played spectacularly with the glove, but hits like Mark Belanger, too.

Arriving in a trade, Scott Rolen takes over at third base and if he can fight father time will be a step up over Edwin Encarnacion.

The bench now includes Aaron Miles and Paul Janish, capable gloves even if the bats aren’t really strong.  Drew Sutton is also around, but likely will wind up at AAA.  And, the ancient Miguel Cairo got a Non-Roster Invite – he could sneak in there.

All told, I like this group to be 30 – 40 runs more productive offensively, and perhaps five runs better defensively.  Only Rolen’s health makes me nervous – but at .255 and some power, he’s an improvement.  And, Cabrera could get old this year – but he’ll be better than Gonzalez.

Outfielders:

This is a young group and I think will be better next year because Willy Taveras is gone.  Chris Dickerson isn’t a huge power threat, but he was an above average hitter at 5.4 runs per 27 outs.  Give him 500 at bats, and that’s a step up.  Jonny Gomes will get at bats (and not catch flies) after hitting 20 homers last season.  And I don’t believe that Jay Bruce will hit .223 again (but he might hit 30 homers).  Add to that Drew Stubbs, who hit .267 with some power after taking over for Taveras in center.  I’m not convinced he’s better than Chris Dickerson (in part because that power isn’t to be expected and he doesn’t have enough patience), but BOTH guys would be better than Taveras.

Arriving from Seattle is Wladimir Balentien, who played well after arriving in late July- but had been disappointing as a Mariner.  I like him as a fourth or fifth outfielder.  Can Micah Owings shag flies?  Put him in left field and let the man hit.  Put him at first base when Joey Votto needs a day off and let him hit.  Sheesh.

I see perhaps 50 more runs of offense in 2010 from the outfield, with the defense holding steady – and improving if Gomes is a pinch hitter and not a regular outfielder.

Prospects:

The best players in AAA already started getting playing time – Stubbs, Maloney, Lehr, Bailey.  Aroldis Chapman may not see any minor league time, and we already mentioned him.  So, if you are looking for prospects, we have to look to the lower levels.

Travis Wood is close.  At AA Carolina, he went 9 – 3 with a 1.21 ERA (!), in part because he allowed just two homers and had a 3:1 K/W ratio.  He earned a shot at AAA where he had eight decent starts.  His minor league career has been a bit uneven, so look for Wood to start the year in AAA, but get the first shot at the majors if someone falters.  Chris Heisey had an amazing half season at AA, hitting .347 with 13 homers, walking as often as he struck out, and earning a trip to AAA with Wood.  He didn’t quite keep up the same pace, but his four years in the minors have shown Heisey to be a hitter.  He’ll get another shot at AAA because the Reds have outfield options right now.

Another AA prospect is first baseman Yonder Alonso, the 2008 first round pick out of Miami, who smoked his way through rookie, A, and into AA last year.  He’s got some pop, patience, and a .300 average in the minors.  Alonso’s spot would seem to be blocked in the majors, though – so the question will be can he move to the outfield, or will he be moved for a pitcher.  I think he looks like a young Eddie Murray…  Todd Frazier, a 2007 top pick (1A), has hit well, with patience and power, but might not have the range at short and is blocked at second.  Frazier MIGHT get a shot, though, if someone gets injured.

Recent early picks aren’t making the same progress.  Catcher Devin Mesoraco (2007 – #1) hasn’t hit much in the minors.  Kyle Lotzkar walks a lot of batters (24 in 37.2 innings at A Dayton) but, more importantly, has to recover from a broken bone in his elbow that caused him to miss the 2009 season.

Forecast:

I like the Reds to make a splash in 2010.  I think the offense might be 80 runs better than last year, with improvement in the outfield and at two infield positions.  The defense may be a little better – and there is room for improvement on the staff.  I see Cincinnati scoring 750 runs and allowing perhaps 680 – and it could be less.  I have them at 89 wins, which isn’t out of the range of possibility.  If SOMEBODY can pitch like an ace, look out.

If asked to name a sleeper to make the World Series, it’s the Cincinnati Reds.

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Filed under Aaron Harang, Aaron Miles, Alex Gonzalez, Aroldis Chapman, Arthur Rhodes, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo, Carlos Fisher, Chris Dickerson, Chris Heisey, Cincinnati Reds, Danny Herrera, Devin Mesoraco, Drew Stubbs, Drew Sutton, Edinson Volquez, Edwin Encarnacion, Francisco Cordero, Homer Bailey, Jared Burton, Jay Bruce, Joey Votto, Johnny Cueto, Jonny Gomes, Justin Lehr, Kyle Lotzkar, Matt Maloney, Micah Owings, Miguel Cairo, Nick Massett, Orlando Cabrera, Paul Janish, Ramon Hernandez, Ryan Hannigan, Scott Rolen, Season Forecast, Todd Frazier, Travis Wood, Victor Martinez, Willy Taveras, Wladimir Balentien, Yonder Alonso

March 2, 2010

2010 Season Forecast: St. Louis Cardinals

Last Five Years:

2009:  91 – 71 (1st NL Central)
2008:  86 – 76
2007:  78 – 84
2006:  83 – 78
2005: 100 – 62

Runs Scored: 730
Runs Allowed: 640

Season Recap:

With two aces and the world’s greatest offensive force, the Cardinals held their own throughout the 2009 season.  And just when it looked like someone might catch them, the Cards added Matt Holliday, Mark DeRosa, and John Smoltz to bury the rest of the division.

The Cardinals got off to a hot start, winning 17 of the first 24 games.  However, like the Cubs, a couple of ill-timed losing streaks returned the team back to the pack and in fact St. Louis trailed Milwaukee for parts of June.  In fact, all three teams played indifferently for much of the summer until the front office got involved.

Adding Holliday to the offense and giving a few starts to someone other than Todd Wellemeyer helped get a winning stretch going.  From July 27th through the end of the year, the Cardinals played great – going 38 – 23 before losing in the playoffs.

Injuries claimed Ryan Ludwick and Rick Ankiel at times, and LaRussa had to work around a defense that wasn’t functional at many positions.  Skip Schumaker was an outfielder impersonating a second baseman – badly.  He was replaced by Julio Lugo near the end of the season, and the ball wasn’t hit close enough to him either – not that Lugo had been a regular second baseman recently.  Chris Duncan is a poor outfielder – replaced by Matt Holliday who actually played even worse.  Ryan Ludwick played at a below average pace in right and the ball wasn’t hit to his occasional replacements (Ankiel, Nick Stavinoha) either.

Despite this, the pitchers allowed the third fewest runs in the NL – which shows you how good Adam Wainwright and Chris Carpenter were.  And they were simply amazing.  Put this staff in front of the middle 80’s team that featured Ozzie and Willie McGee and company, and they might have allowed only 500 runs all year.

Starting Pitching:

Adam Wainwright pitched 233 innings, fanned 212, and had a 3:1 K/W ratio.  He saved his team some 43 runs over using a league average starter.  Chris Carpenter was even better.  Returning from elbow surgery, Carpenter nearly tossed 200 innings in just 28 starts, winning 17 and finishing with an ERA of just 2.24.  He saved his squad 48 runs.  The third starter, Joel Pineiro won 15 himself, hardly walking anyone and keeping batted balls on the ground all season.

With 51 wins in the top three spots, the Cardinals countered with Todd Wellemeyer and Kyle Lohse at the bottom of the rotation; two who were below average pitchers.  Wellemeyer was so bad, he cancelled out half an ace with his 5.89 ERA.

Three starters are back, starting with the aces and adding Kyle Lohse.  Pineiro is gone, replaced by Brad Penny – and my take on it that Penny should be close to as good as Pineiro was.  They have comparable strikeout rates, and if Penny keeps the ball over the plate, should fare well here.  Wellemeyer is also history, but it’s hard to tell who might get that fifth slot.  It could be Mitchell Boggs, who got nine starts and while his ERA was tolerable (4.19), he sure got lucky.  Boggs allowed 71 hits in 58 innings and walked 33 more.  Some time back, I suggested that you could figure how lucky a pitcher was by comparing his actual runs allowed data against his “reverse runs created” data.  Essentially, I was treating his pitching stats like I would an offensive player.  Given the combination of hits and walks that Boggs allowed, he would expect to have allowed 40 runs, not 28, and his ERA would have been about 6.05.

I digress.  The fifth starter could also be non-roster invitee Rich Hill, who is just the type of pitcher that seems to get his career healed by the coaching of Dave Duncan.  Look for Hill to make the roster and possibly make the rotation.

The bullpen returns virtually intact – Ryan Franklin was about the best closer in the National League, but he’s NOT a power guy and I don’t believe that he’s going to be as successful in 2010.  Trever Miller had a great season, but he only pitched 43.2 innings in his 70 games, which means that LaRussa spotted him well.  He and Dennys Reyes will be the designated lefties, while Kyle McClellan, Brad Thompson, and Jason Motte pick up the other innings.  Rookie Jess Todd might be a nice set up man for part of the season.

My view of this is that the pitching can’t possibly be this good next year.  Not that Wainwright and Carpenter won’t be good – they could be 25 runs better than the average pitchers, which is very good, but that would be 40 runs off from last year’s production.  Ryan Franklin could be good, but lose five runs from a peak season last year.  Not having to pitch Todd Wellemeyer will help some, however I’d be nervous about the current options.  I see the pitching being off by about 50 runs.

Catching:

Yadier Molina remains the best defensive catcher in baseball and seems to be adding some offensive tools.  His backup is Jason LaRue – who will get to catch four times a month.

Infield:

Albert Pujols is the best offensive player in the game, and the best defensive player at his position.  His quickness means that he plays farther off the bag than most people – which gives him a serious range advantage over just about anybody.

After a year of Skip Schumaker, who stays to provide depth, the Cardinals will be using Felipe Lopez at second base.  This is an immediate 20 run upgrade defensively, and if Lopez continues to hit, a match to the production Schumaker provided (80 runs created, and 5.7 runs per 27 outs – which is solid).

Brendan Ryan was a stopper defensively, but starts the season coming back from wrist surgery.  I’m not sure he’ll be able to replicate last year’s production defensively and it’s hard to come back and hit right away after a hand or wrist injury.  His backup will be Julio Lugo or Tyler Greene.

At third, Mark DeRosa is gone and the Joe Thurston experiment is over.  David Freese will get the job.  Freese is a prospect, albeit a rather old prospect.  You may remember that Freese was acquired from San Diego for Jim Edmonds.  Well, Freese has been solid in the minors – hitting .306 with 26 homers in Memphis in 2008, and then batting .300 with 10 homers in just 200 at bats last season at AAA.  The Ballwin, MO native can hit at this level – he’ll be 27 in April.  I think he’ll hit like Todd Zeile – 18 homers, .270 batting average.  If he can field at all, he’ll be an upgrade over what the Cards got last year.

Pujols season was better than what he had done the previous couple of years, he could lose twenty runs of offense and STILL be the best hitter in the game.  With the wrist injury, Brendan Ryan will be off, but that will be made up by the play of Freese.  The net result, however, is probably 20 runs fewer offensively and probably ten runs off defensively.

Outfield:

This is going to be a very productive offense featuring Matt Holliday, Colby Rasmus, and Ryan Ludwick.  Ludwick, if healthy, holds his own.  A full season of Holliday will be better than half a season of Chris Duncan.  And Colby Rasmus will hit better than what Rick Ankiel did last year.  Defensively, Rasmus should hold steady, Holliday will be a slight improvement over Duncan, and Ankiel won’t be better.

Backups include Skip Schumaker, Nick Stavinoha and maybe a rookie – Joe Mather?  Shane Robinson?  It could be Allen Craig, who had a solid year at Memphis last year (see Prospects).

This team will score produce about 30 runs more than last year and hold steady defensively.

Bench:

Not a bad bunch, but some holes…  Skip Schumaker will get a lot of innings, Julio Lugo returns, as does Tyler Greene, and then you have Nick Stavinoha, and Jason LaRue.  Which of these guys, other than Schumaker, would you want as a pinch hitter?  It’s a bit weak.

Prospects:

AAA Memphis had a couple of guys who might be interesting.  David Freese will get a shot at the third base job after a year and a half of solid play with the Redbirds.  Allen Craig hit .322 with 26 homers, but he’s not really patient at the plate.  He’s a potential fourth outfielder with the Cardinals though, and could be Ryan Ludwick’s equal in right field.  (.280 – 20 homers)

Jess Todd was the closer in Memphis and was solid – 59 Ks, 13 walks, 24 saves to match his 2.20 ERA.  He’ll be on the Cardinals in 2010.  The best starter was likely P.J. Walters, who was tolerable – decent control, a good strikeout record, but a bit hittable.

The best pitchers at Springfield (AA) weren’t dominating, but had good records and avoided the long ball.  Trey Hearne and Lance Lynn combined for 23 wins and only 7 losses and have interchangeable stats.  Lynn was a 1A draft pick in 2008, so he’s moving up quickly and the Cardinals have high hopes for him.  Infielder Daniel Descalso hit well (.323, .396 OBP) at Springfield but hasn’t been consistent at that level in the minors.

Former first round picks, like Brett Wallace, Clayton Mortensen and Shane Carpenter are gone.  Peter Kozma was a top pick in 2007 and struggled to hit .216 in AA – he’s going to run out of chances soon.  Another, 2007 pick David Kopp struggled to a 6.43 ERA at Springfield – he might get one more shot before being cast away.  Much of the 2006 draft is still around and getting close – Adam Ottavino, Chris Perez, Jon Jay, Shane Robinson, and Allen Craig are in Memphis but haven’t made it in (or to) the bigs yet.

There are a couple of players in the minors, but as a whole, the Cardinal organization is a little thin right now.

Outlook:

Having gone through the process, I think the Cardinals will be in the mix but might not easily repeat.  I think they’ll score about 740 runs, but allow more than last year – as many as 690 runs.  If that’s the combination, it works out to 87 wins.  With Milwaukee likely getting better and the Cubs in the mix, the NL Central could easily have the most exciting September in baseball.  The Cards MIGHT win the division, and they MIGHT get the wild card.  Or, they MIGHT fall a game or two short.  It’s too close to call.

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February 28, 2010

2010 Season Forecast: Chicago Cubs

Last Five Seasons:

2009: 83 – 78 (2nd – NL East)
2008: 97 – 74
2007: 85 – 77
2006: 66 – 96
2005: 79 – 83

Runs Scored: 707 (9th – NL)
Runs Allowed: 672 (5th – NL)

For what it’s worth, the Cubs and their opponents scored 732 runs in Wrigley Field and just 647 on the road last year…

Season Recap:

Picked by a ton of people to win the NL Central, the Cubs hung around the race for four months before throwing in the towel down the stretch.

Every time the Cubs would get rolling, they found a losing streak.  Two weeks in, Chicago rolled out to an 8 – 4 record, only to lose four in a row.  Recovering, they won 8 of 12 only to lose a couple more.  Into May, the Cubbies took off – rattling five in a row to get to 21 – 14.  Thinking that this win streak might put them out in front for good, Chicago lost EIGHT straight…

Hanging around .500 for the next several weeks, the Cubs entered the All-Star break at 43 – 42.  Sensing a need to get going, the Cubs rolled out to 57 – 48 and actually sneaked into the top spot for a day in late July.  That’s when the bullpen suddenly lost it.  The Marlins came back to beat former closer Kevin Gregg and the Cubs hit a tailspin that knocked them out of the NL Central race just as St. Louis was adding Holliday, DeRosa, and Lopez for the stretch run.  The Cubs fell back to a game over .500, made a small fuss for the wild card race, and then disappeared.

Injuries hurt the Cubs as much as many other teams – losing Aramis Ramirez, Milton Bradley (injuries to his body as well as his attitude), Ted Lilly and Alfonso Soriano – but poor performances were equally to blame.  Milton Bradley signed a three-year, $30 million deal and proceeded to hit .257 with middling power.  Soriano’s season was worse – knee injuries and age contributing to a horrific .241 batting average.  And Geovany Soto, such a huge part of the 2008 NL Central Champs, fell off to .218, with just 11 homers.  Throw in the decline of a portly Carlos Zambrano, who failed to win ten games and missed at least six starts, and you can see why the Cubs fell back 13.5 games from 2008.

2010 Goals:

Lessee…  The Cubs need an attitude adjustment.  Bringing Milton Bradley was a BAD idea – no matter how good his upside might have been, there’s no excuse for that deal.  Just as importantly, the big horses need to find the old mojo and get healthy.  Soto and Zambrano need to return to form and it would be nice to get 140 healthy games out of Ramirez and Soriano – both of whom are running out of youth.  Finding a dependable closer would help, too.

Pitchers:

On paper, the Cubs have a fantastic rotation.  Carlos Zambrano should be an innings eater, and if his off-season fitness plan works out (no pun intended), he could return to form.  He pitched okay in the 160 innings he logged in 2009, but he needs to pitch 220 or more.  Ted Lilly will be back, but might miss a few starts early on as he recovers from minor surgery to clean up his elbow.  Ryan Dempster returns, as well as last year’s top newcomer, Randy Wells.  The fifth starter is former Pirate star (and Jayhawk alum) Tom Gorzelanny – who a couple of years ago was the ace of the Pirates staff.  Last year, the Cubs front five (the top four plus Rich Harden) were about 68 runs better than average and threw  852 innings.  That’s going to be hard to BEAT, but is something that the Cubs should be able to hold steady for 2010.

The bullpen wasn’t horrible – as a group about 16 runs better than average – but it lacked a big time stopper.  Kevin Gregg saved 23 games, but was really only decent for three months and scary the rest of the way.  He’s gone…  Carlos Marmol assumed the closer role – nearly impossible to hit stuff but walks a batter an inning which makes him Mitch Williams with a better chance to field grounders.  Angel Guzman and John Grabow return to set the table, and Jeff Samardzija, Justin Berg, Sean Marshall will get long relief or spot starts.  Samardzija is likely the one guy who could surprise as a fifth starter, but I’ll be honest.  I don’t see him as anything special.  Still – he throws hard and has as good a chance as anyone to have a good year facing 200 batters…  The Cubs added Carlos Silva in a trade with Seattle – ridding themselves of one headache (Milton Bradley) while acquiring organizational depth in terms of a guy to toss BP.

So, as a staff, the pitching – already good – will remain good in 2010.

Catchers:

Geovany Soto returns, with his backup Koyie Hill intact.  As a unit, they aren’t horrible – but if there is a room for improvement, it’s here.  If Soto splits the difference between his awesome 2008 numbers and his horrific 2009 numbers, the Cubs could get 20 more runs on the scoreboard.

Infield:

Derrek Lee had a quietly amazing year with the stick – 35 – 111 – .306, generating about 115 runs of offense.  On top of that, Lee also had 36 doubles…  The problems with his neck and back, however, affected his defensive range.  Usually Lee is among the top two or three defenders at his position, but in 2009 he was below average in terms of range.  Going forward, I see a 20 run slip in his offense, but he could at least return to league average defense if his back feels better.  In terms of net production, it’s a wash…

At second base, Jeff Baker arrived from Colorado and had a career half season, batting over .300 and fielding everything in site.  That made up for the poor performance of Mike Fontenot, who appears to still have the job.  I don’t think Baker can do this over 500 at bats, and neither do the Cubs who have Fontenot penciled in as the regular.  Fontenot was below average in both offense and defense – and I don’t see this improving in 2010.  If anything whatever bounce back Fontenot has will be covered by the slide in Jeff Baker’s performance.

At short, Ryan Theriot returns – a decent enough glove man and someone who batted a lot near the top of the order, though – to be fair – he’s really a GREAT number eight hitter.  Andres Blanco returns – a capable infielder.

Finally, you have Aramis Ramirez – as good a hitter as you can find if he’s playing 150 games at third base.  Last year, playing just 82 games, he was as good as expected.  Here’s what makes me nervous – Ramirez turns 32 in June – so he might get back to 140 games, but it could be at a lesser scale.  Chad Tracy is in camp to challenge Bobby Scales for a backup role – else Jeff Baker will be the other option here.  Assuming Ramirez takes up the innings given to others last year, even if Ramirez slips in production by 20 runs, the team will still be better offensively by 10 runs at this position.

As a unit, I see this team declining in offense by ten runs and declining by ten runs defensively.

Outfield:

This is where the Cubs had the biggest failures.  Alfonso Soriano led the group in homers with 20.  Kosuke Fukudome was out of position in center but sensational in right – so to make things better, he needs to stay in right.  But to bring in Marlon Byrd?

Last year, Sam Fuld got a small chance and played well defensively while getting on base at a .400 clip in just 100 at bats or so.  Fuld is NOT going to do that in a full season, but it’s taken the Cubs a long time to get Fuld to the majors after drafting him in the fifth round out of Stanford six years ago.  He’s quick, will bat about .275 to .290, and draw enough walks to be a scary leadoff hitter in front of Lee and Ramirez.  Instead, the Cubs chose to spend money on Marlon Byrd.  Byrd is about four years older, coming off a career year in Texas, and is a liability in centerfield.

If his knees are steady, Soriano could be a pleasant surprise – especially if he agrees to hit sixth and drive in runs rather than pretend to be a leadoff hitter who gets in the way of rallies.  Healthy, he hits .270 with 30 homers.  Another off season, and the Cubs will have an expensive problem for three more years.

Fukudome gets on base and surprises with power.  He’s a good #2 hitter, and his current backup, Xavier Nady – who signed an incentive laden deal on the heels of his multiple shoulder surgeries – would also make for a productive #2 hitter.

Any gains in Soriano’s health and Fukudome’s moving to right full time will be negated by the addition of Marlon Byrd.  This group will likely improve by 20 runs offensively but decline by 20 runs defensively.

Bench:

Kevin Millar will be battling for a pinch hitting role, joining Nady, Baker, Fuld, and Hill in providing one of the deeper and more productive supporting casts in baseball.

Prospects:

If the Cubs have any for 2010, there aren’t many on the 40 man roster – that’s for sure.  This is a veteran club.  On the whole, the prospects are mostly a few years away and only a couple really stand out…

Nobody stood out as a hitter in AAA Iowa (other than Blanco and Fuld), the top pitchers weren’t impressive, though reliever John Gaub had 31.1 solid innings, striking out 40, but walking 16.  Gaub had similar stats (28.2 innings, 40 Ks, 17 walks) in AA.  He’ll get a shot in 2010 – I just don’t know how many innings he’ll get.  Expect Gaub to start in Iowa, though.

Casey Coleman was 14 – 6 with a 3.68 ERA for the AA Tennessee Smokies, but struck out just 84 in 149 innings, so he’s not a long term option.  He is, however, just 21, so if he can find a strikeout pitch, he’ll be on the roster by the end of 2011.  Starlin Castro might be the next big thing, though.  A Dominican shortstop, Castro will turn 20 in spring training, but because the Cubs have options he’ll likely start the year in AA or AAA.  He wasn’t overmatched in 31 AA games last season and had hit .300 or better in rookie ball and in Daytona.  Castro would be my pick as the top prospect in the system.

Daytona had more than just Starlin Castro.  Brandon Guyer hit .347 in half a season in the Florida State League, earning a trip to Tennessee, but he struggled in AA – if he’s going to make it, he has to get it in gear quickly.  Tony Campana is a burner – 55 steals – but it would be nice if he got his OBP a bit higher.  Craig Muschko appeared to turn the corner at Daytona – 19 walks in 103 innings and an improving K rate.  And, Jay Jackson could be the other top prospect – cruising through Daytona with 46 Ks and just 4 walks, moving up to Tennessee where he went 5 – 5 with a decent K rate, and even getting a start at Iowa and winning his only appearance.  A Furman alum, Jackson will make the Cubs in 2010 if for no other reason than to get a cup of coffee in September.  I like him.

2008 #1 draft pick Andrew Cashner made it to Daytona and didn’t disappoint.  Look for him in AA Tennessee, maybe even Iowa for parts of 2010.  Ryan Flaherty, the 1A pick in 2008, will see if he can’t handle more after a 20 homer season at Peoria.  A shortstop with power would look good in Wrigley – but Flaherty is a few years away.  Others in Peoria that may stand out in 2010 will be 2008 draft picks Aaron Shafer and Christopher Carpenter, but the guy with the most stuff might be 2009 Chief Chris Archer, who blew away 119 batters in 109 innings and only allowed 78 hits – with NO homers allowed.

Josh Vitters, the first round pick in 2007, struggled at Daytona after a solid half season in Peoria.  He’ll get a second chance at A+ ball this year – but he’s just 20 and has time to get rolling.  Tyler Colvin, once a first round pick out of Clemson in 2006, got to the majors after shuffling out of the prospect picture.  At 25, he’s running out of time – and as an outfielder, the Cubs seem to like older players…

I should note that the other minor league prospect moving up through the ranks is manager Ryne Sandberg.  Perhaps you’ve heard of him.  After a year in Peoria, he moved up to Tennessee and will start 2010 as the Iowa manager.  If the Cubs get off to a slow start, he’s being groomed to replace Lou Piniella.

Outlook:

The Cubs certainly have the star power to compete, but the cracks that showed up in 2010 weren’t necessarily filled by young new help.  Instead, the Cubs have essentially the same team with one difference – Marlon Byrd instead of Milton Bradley.

I see the Cubs scoring a few more runs than last year – as many as 740, but allowing a few more, too – 700.  That works out to 85 or 86 wins (85.5, but if you carry out another decimal point, you’d round down).  With an improving Milwaukee and a still very good St. Louis, that’s probably good for third place – and at some point, the end of Lou Piniella’s tenure in Chicago.  With a slow start, he could be gone as early as June 1.

However, the guy responsible for Piniella and the rest of the roster is General Manager Jim Hendry.  With a new ownership group in town, when Lou leaves he’ll have someone to hold open the door – Hendry will likely be shown that same door.

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Filed under Aaron Shafer, Alfonso Soriano, Andres Blanco, Andrew Cashner, Angel Guzman, Aramis Ramirez, Bobby Scales, Brandon Guyer, Carlos Marmol, Carlos Silva, Carlos Zambrano, Casey Coleman, Chad Tracy, Chicago Cubs, Chris Archer, Christopher Carpenter, Craig Muschko, Derrek Lee, Geovany Soto, Jay Jackson, Jeff Baker, Jeff Samardzija, John Gaub, John Grabow, Josh Vitters, Justin Berg, Kevin Gregg, Kevin Millar, Kosuke Fukudome, Koyie Hill, Marlon Byrd, Mike Fontenot, Milton Bradley, Randy Wells, Rich Harden, Ryan Dempster, Ryan Flaherty, Ryan Theriot, Sam Fuld, Sean Marshall, Starlin Castro, Ted Lilly, Tom Gorzelanny, Xavier Nady

February 26, 2010

AL Designated Hitters

Rather than rank them, I’ll just sort by team – especially since some teams didn’t really have a standard DH (Detroit, for example).

Baltimore:  Luke Scott got 89 games, the rest were mixed.  Scott is an above average offensive player with legitimate power and enough patience to help out (55 walks in 128 games).  Scott is not really an outfielder, but he can back people up in right field if required.  (73.3 Runs Created)

Boston:  David Ortiz played 139 games.  We know about his horrible first two months, but he finished strong – 28 homers and 99 RBI.  I don’t think he can rebound to being a .300/.400/.550 guy again, but if he gets off to a quicker start and hits close to .260, he’ll remain valuable.  (81.0 Runs Created)

Chicago:  Jim Thome played 98 games before being traded…  Still a great hitter and the Twins will like him.  Is Carlos Quentin the first choice in 2010?  Thome was productive – more so than Ortiz per 27 outs, but played far fewer games.  (61.7 Runs Created)

Cleveland:  Travis Hafner played 88 games…  He and the Indians are still recovering.  The rest were shared amongst the other teammates.  Hafner may never hit 25 homers again…  (61.6 Runs Created)

Detroit:  Didn’t really have a regular – Marcus Thames got 50 games, Carlos Guillen 33, Aubrey Huff 28 brutally bad games down the stretch.  Magglio Ordonez should have the job because he’s been an immobile object in right for several years now.

Kansas City:  Mike Jacobs got the bulk of the work – 102 games – and it was crushingly unproductive.  49 Runs Created, less than four runs per 27 outs.  There just weren’t a whole lot of better options – the team needs to add DEPTH and add it fast.  (49.0 Runs Created)

Los Angeles:  Vladimir Guerrero stayed healthy enough for 93 games, the rest were split among friends…  Vlad is now in Texas, but  I would be concerned about his health, as his body is breaking down after a rather long and productive career.  Even last year, falling off as a hitter, he was still productive.  Hideki Matsui’s job now…  (58.7 Runs Created)

Minnesota:  Jason Kubel got half, Joe Mauer used the position for his bat and resting his back…  As a hitter, Kubel was the second most productive of the DH regulars.  (98.1 Runs Created)

New York:  Hideki Matsui’s primary job – 116 games.  Kubel may have created more runs, but Matsui created more runs per 27 outs (7.0).  Now an Angel, if he can stay healthy he’d still be productive even with losing 10 – 20% of his skills.  (87.0 Runs Created)

Oakland:  Jack Cust got 96 games, Jason Giambi – while in town – got 22 more.  Nomar Garciaparra also got 22 games here.  Cust struck out 36% of the time – a frightening number – and yet had a .359 OBP and created runs.  (78.5 Runs Created)

Seattle:  Ken Griffey’s last job as a Mariner.  Mike Sweeney was his platoon partner.  They combined for 27 homers and 91 RBI – but the net batting average and OBP was rather pedestrian.

Tampa:  Pat (The Bat) Burrell’s job 112 times, otherwise Willy Aybar.  Aybar was better…  When Burrell signed, I don’t think 14 – 64 – .221 was what they had in mind.  (48.5 Runs Created)

Texas:  Andruw Jones and Hank Blalock split 100 games, the rest were dished out with Julio Borbon getting 21 shots.  Nobody really helped the cause, which is why Vlad Guerrero was added to the roster.

Toronto:  Adam Lind, a born DH, was here 92 times.  Randy Ruiz got 30, and the rest were shared…  Lind was the best hitter of the bunch – 36 – 108 – .305.  He’ll play outfield from time to time, but in a few years, he’ll be Jim Thome for sure.  Randy Ruiz was just as good in his shot – 10 homers in 115 at bats and batted .313.

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February 25, 2010

Top NL Catchers

Unlike the guys who play between the baselines, determining the value of a catcher defensively is a much harder proposition for me.  I haven’t been able to translate defense into runs the way I have for all the other positions, but I AM able to look at the responsibilities of a catcher and determine what teams are benefiting more from good catching than others.  Here’s how I do it.

There are seven things for which a catcher would get credit as being solid defensively.  If the catchers for a team are above average in a category, they get a point.  If below average, they lose a point.  The top score is seven, the lowest score (obviously) would be -7.  Here are the categories:

W/L Percentage: Score a point for a winning record, take one away for being below .500.

Adjusted ERA: If the team’s staff has a better than league average ERA (4.21), score a point.

Mistakes Per Game: Essentially errors and passed balls are added up.  The norm is about .11 mistakes a game for AL catchers.  Score a point for doing better than that.  Otherwise, take one away.  The only time this is patently unfair is when a team has a knuckleballer – so this works against Boston right now.  But it’s just a single category and I tend to give that team the benefit of the doubt on that category.

Mobililty: Mobility is the total number of assists that aren’t tied to stolen bases and the number of putouts that aren’t strikeouts.  A good catcher blocks the plate and gets outs on throws home, or can race out of the crouch to snare bunts and make plays in the field.  In the AL, the average catcher made .38 plays requiring mobility.  Score a point for beating that number.

Fielding Percentage (not counting strikeouts):  I guess someone had to get credit for the putout when a batter strikes out.  Unfortunately, catching strike three isn’t really “fielding”.  So, I look at the fielding percentage after removing putouts for Ks.  The average catcher has a fielding percentage of about .914 on balls in play or when runners are trying to advance.  Beat it, and score a point.

Assists Per Game: These are assists NOT tied to stolen bases and is used to grade the catcher’s ability to make good throws.  The league average is .23 assists per game.

Stolen Base Percentage: Can a catcher hold the running game in check?  If so, score a point.  The league average is 73.6% – which is awfully high, don’t you think?

The best catcher (well, team of catchers) can score a seven – and it happens from time to time.  As it turns out, there was a seven in the NL in 2009 – and it was your St. Louis Cardinals led by the incredible Yadier Molina.  The Cardinals had a winning record, an adjusted ERA of 3.48, cut off the running game, made few errors, few mistakes in total, had great mobility, and had an above average number of assists not tied to stolen bases.

I’ll list the table here to show you where the catchers rank defensively and then discuss the nuts and bolts in the player comments below.

  M. ERA WPct SB% FPct-K MTK Mob. Asst Rank
NL AVG 4.21 0.500 71.2% 0.917 0.11 0.44 0.33 ***
ARI 4.03 0.432 76.1% 0.948 0.08 0.37 0.32 -1
ATL 3.77 0.531 67.8% 0.906 0.15 0.49 0.31 1
CHN 3.60 0.516 67.4% 0.879 0.14 0.50 0.34 3
CIN 4.23 0.481 62.7% 0.923 0.09 0.52 0.28 1
COL 3.76 0.568 81.0% 0.886 0.11 0.41 0.42 0
FLA 4.02 0.537 75.4% 0.971 0.07 0.35 0.29 1
HOU 4.71 0.457 69.1% 0.924 0.13 0.58 0.38 2
LAN 3.67 0.586 69.5% 0.914 0.09 0.41 0.37 3
MIL 5.12 0.494 79.6% 0.968 0.06 0.43 0.34 -1
NYN 4.58 0.432 66.0% 0.904 0.11 0.38 0.18 -4
PHI 4.10 0.574 72.0% 0.917 0.12 0.39 0.21 0
PIT 4.51 0.385 71.3% 0.883 0.18 0.44 0.39 -4
SDN 5.02 0.463 70.4% 0.891 0.16 0.45 0.29 -3
SFN 3.48 0.543 71.8% 0.911 0.12 0.37 0.42 -1
SLN 3.82 0.562 61.1% 0.943 0.07 0.54 0.42 7
WAS 4.98 0.364 70.1% 0.941 0.10 0.46 0.26 1

Catchers Ranked by Runs Created

Brian McCann (ATL):  Unlike the AL, where Joe Mauer is arguably as valuable as any player in the game, the NL doesn’t have even one catcher who can generate 100 runs of offense.  McCann has the ability to do it, but in 2009 fell a little short.  Not that anybody is complaining – he’s been a top flight catcher for a few years now…  Power, patience, hits for a good average (though not as high as two years ago).  McCann is such a good hitter that it might be worth it to move him to first base to save his bat before the grind catches up with him.  Backup Dave Ross was impressive against base stealers, nabbing 19 of 40 attempts.  (88.95 Runs Created)

Yadier Molina (STL):  A complete defensive package – only the best runners even DARE to run on him, and those are nabbed at a 40% rate.  As an offensive weapon, Molina almost hit .300 and worked his way on base about 36% of the time – very good offensive production for a catcher, too.  (72.22 Runs Created)

Miguel Montero (ARI):  Power, patience, decent batting average.  Granted – gets help by playing in Arizona, but would look good most anywhere.  Montero and Chris Snyder avoid mistakes, but aren’t all that good against the run – and the team generally underperformed (though it’s not their fault that Brandon Webb didn’t play except on Opening Day).  (66.14 Runs Created)

Russell Martin (LAD):  Years of playing every day likely contributed to Martin’s amazing loss of energy and power.  Still a solid defensive catcher – good against the run, his teams are very successful and the pitchers all look good.  He’s consistently the second best catcher in the NL – but now is a below average offensive run producer.  (65.19 Runs Created)

Bengie Molina (SF):  More power than most catchers, and a decent (if slightly above average) batting average.  Rarely walks, though, so his OBP is low (.291) which makes him a slightly below average offensive performer even with the power.  People can run on Bengie (and do) and he’s just below average in terms of his mobility and dependability.  Backup Eli Whiteside was great against the run.  In a year, Buster Posey will have this job.  Maybe sooner.  (61.7 Runs Created)

Miguel Olivo, recently of Kansas City and now in Colorado, would rank here.

John Baker (FLA):  He’s a decent enough hitter that Baker bats second in the lineup from time to time.  Good OBP, decent power.  His platoon mate, Ronny Paulino, also had a good season so the Marlins got a lot of production from this spot.  Both tend to be dependable, but not necessarily mobile – and Paulino threw well enough…  (50.26 Runs Created)

Jason Kendall (MIL):  Brings his lack of power and barely acceptable on base percentage with him to Kansas City.  To Kendall’s credit, the man is durable.  On the other hand, look how badly so many Brewers pitchers fared.  Look at the team ERA.  Sure, he doesn’t make mistakes, but baserunners were successful 80% of the time.  And the Royals didn’t want John Buck out there?   For 2010, the Brewers will try Greg Zaun, George Kottaras, and possibly rookie Angel Salome – who would be my first choice… (50.24 Runs Created)

Carlos Ruiz (PHI):  Not appreciably different than Baker – both had 9 homers, between 40 and 50 RBI, and virtually the same SLG and OBP.  Ruiz, Paul Bako, and Chris Coste provide ordinary, middle of the road defense.  How many teams has Paul Bako played for now?  (48.6 Runs Created)

Rod Barajas – just signed by the Mets – would rank here.

Chris Iannetta (COL):  His batting average was down (.228), but his power and OBP were still solid.  Shared the job with Yorvit Torrealba and now will share with Miguel Olivo.  Virtually everyone could run on Torrealba or third stringer Paul Phillips.  (41.42 Runs Created)

Ramon Hernandez (CIN):  I’d say this was a disappointing season for the veteran backstop – missed half the season due to injuries.  Power numbers fell off to five homers, the rest of his game is barely average.  Of course, Ryan Hanigan caught the most innings, but he’s not better with the bat (merely average at best).  Even third stringer Craig Tatum had a good year against base stealers and as a team, the Reds had pretty good catching defensively.  (40.10 Runs Created)

Nick Hundley (SD):  Had stats that his dad might have had…  Some power, a low batting average, but on the whole wasn’t too bad.  Has room to improve defensively – easy to run on and a bit mistake prone.  Henry Blanco was much better behind the plate, but you’d rather see Nick with the stick.  (39.18 Runs Created)

Geovany Soto (CHI):  Now THERE’S a sophomore slump.  Ouch.  Cut his homers in half (seemed like his batting average, too) – lost power and his OBP (.326).  Says that he’s going to come into spring training in better shape and also not have to deal with the World Baseball Classic.  For the Cubs sake, let’s hope so.  Defensively, his backup, Koyie Hill, looked stronger against the run, but as a team they were above average in five categories – so they ranked very highly.  (38.66 Runs Created)

Ivan Rodriguez (HOU):  Finished year in Texas, now catching for the Nationals.  His arm isn’t as good as it used to be, but it’s still solid.  Backup Humberto Quintero was even better, nabbing 12 of 25 would be base stealers.  I-Rod’s bat is gone, though.  As a prospect, J.R. Towles would appear to be finished, huh?  (36.46 Runs Created)

Ryan Doumit (PIT):  Missed time with injuries (most catchers do), didn’t have his best season offensively and, as such, fell far down the list.  As a team, Pirate catchers look bad – mistake prone, average against the run, with poor records and poor pitching ERAs.  Jason Jaramillo isn’t the answer either and hits like a backup catcher.  (34.97 Runs Created)

Omir Santos (NYM):  Forced into more playing time than planned, Santos was tolerable.  Slightly below average as a hitter – like many of the people on this list – Santos played when (a) Brian Schneider couldn’t keep his back and knees healthy and then (b) Ramon Castro got sent to the White Sox.  On the whole, Santos didn’t look very mobile and Schneider certainly is more polished.  But, the Mets catching as a whole looked off – below average results for pitchers and the team, a few too many mistakes…  (34.20 Runs Created)

Ronny Paulino, discussed above, would rank here in offensive production – not bad for the right handed partner of a very effective Marlins platoon.  (32.41 Runs Created)

Ryan Hanigan, the Reds catcher, got more innings than Hernandez, but a few less at bats.  Good glove, a little bat kind of a guy.

Josh Bard (WAS)  Got more innings than Wil Nieves or the injured Jesus Flores, Bard has some skills and was probably glad to not have to catch a knuckler…  Doesn’t hit or get on base, and is power is marginal at best.  (29.03 Runs Created)

Yorvit Torrealba (COL)  Suffered through the kidnapping of his son, which – fortunately for all – ended without incident.  Hit .305 with a decent OBA…  Brutal against the run (8 out of 57 baserunners) but made fewer errors than Iannetta.  (25.95 Runs Created)

Koyie Kill (CHC):  Not much of a hitter – but can still throw some.  (23.94 Runs Created)

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Filed under Angel Salome, Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Bengie Molina, Brandon Webb, Brian McCann, Brian Schneider, Buster Posey, Carlos Ruiz, Chicago Cubs, Chris Coste, Chris Ianetta, Chris Snyder, Cincinnati Reds, Craig Tatum, Dave Ross, Eli Whiteside, Florida Marlins, George Kottaras, Geovany Soto, Greg Zaun, Henry Blanco, Houston Astros, Humberto Quintero, Ivan Rodriguez, J.R Towles, Jason Jaramillo, Jason Kendall, Jesus Flores, Joe Mauer, John Baker, Josh Bard, Kansas City Royals, Koyie Hill, Los Angeles Dodgers, Miguel Montero, Miguel Olivo, Milwaukee Brewers, New York Mets, Nick Hundley, Omir Santos, Paul Bako, Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, Ramon Castro, Ramon Hernandez, Rod Barajas, Ronny Cedeno, Russell Martin, Ryan Doumit, Ryan Hannigan, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants, St. Louis Cardinals, Toronto Blue Jays, Washington Nationals, Wil Nieves, Yadier Molina, Yorvit Torrealba

February 25, 2010

Top NL Rightfielders in 2009

Jayson Werth (PHI):  Made more plays defensively in rightfield than Shane Victorino made in center – which is amazing, really.  Throw in 36 homers and a .376 OBP and you have one of the best players in baseball.  (111.3 Runs Created, 24.1 Runs Saved = 135.36 Total Run Production)

Andre Ethier (LAD):  The offense of Werth, but league average defense.  Still – a very potent package.  Any fantasy player worth his salt will take it – and the Dodgers aren’t going to complain either (Ethier?)…  (119.6 Runs Created, -2.09 Runs Saved = 117.55 Total Run Production)

Hunter Pence (HOU):  A great season – above average in all facets of the game, but not a superstar in anything.  The best player on the Astros in 2009.  (102.2 Runs Created, 9.9 Runs Saved = 112.18 Total Run Production)

Justin Upton (ARI):  Still just a kid, he’s had his first really good season and it’s only a matter of time before he becomes Henry Aaron.  Seriously.  (97.9 Runs Created, 8.8 Runs Saved = 106.68 Total Run Production)

Jeff Francoeur (ATL/NYM):  Played much better with the change of scenery…  Showed flashes of this old power and still has the cannon arm.  (84.1 Runs Created, -2.7 Runs Saved = 81.4 Total Run Production)

Kosuke Fukudome (CHC):  Should be here and not in center.  Would actually rank higher than Francoeur probably…

Randy Winn (SF):  Still a fantastic defensive outfielder, but his bat is leaving him – he hit just two homers last season.  The Yankees signed him for defensive insurance – a good idea because he’s really not a starter anymore.  (62.7 Runs Created, 14.00 Runs Saved = 76.70 Total Run Production)

Cody Ross (FLA):  See Kosuke Fukudome, above.  Would rank ahead of Winn, for sure.

Ryan Ludwick (STL):  Injuries nearly prevented him from making the majors, and then they ruined his chance at back-to-back solid seasons.  Didn’t perform at the pace of 2009 and may never will – and yet still had 22 homers and 97 RBI (he hits behind Pujols).  His range defensively fell off the map.  (75.7 Runs Created, -10.1 Runs Saved = 65.65 Total Run Production)

Matt Diaz (ATL):  A better left fielder, but played some here.  He’s a hitter, though.  (77.5 Runs Created, -14.5 Runs Saved = 63.02 Total Run Production)

Brad Hawpe (COL):  Year after year, the worst outfielder in baseball, but hits enough in Colorado to keep his job.  Has cost his team about 100 runs defensively in the last four years.  (89.7 Runs Created, -28.1 Runs Saved = 61.60 Total Run Production)

Garrett Jones (PIT):  Put on quite a show as the season wound down.  Again – the Pirates have HAD talent, but have chosen not to keep it together.  Get him on your fantasy team in 2010.  (67.6 Runs Created, -7.8 Runs Saved = 59.75 Total Run Production)

Jay Bruce (CIN):  The right fielders in the NL weren’t all that great, were they?  Coming in eleventh is a guy who hit .223 with some power, but fielded okay.  (50.4 Runs Created, 8.1 Runs Saved = 58.46 Total Run Production)

Milton Bradley (CHC):  Now in Seattle, and good riddance.  Uninspiring play for all that money and he blames the fans?  To be fair, his power was off and his batting average was down, but he still got on base.  (55.8 Runs Created, 0.3 Runs Saved = 56.11 Total Run Production)

Brandon Moss (PIT):  Not sure if he’s the real deal, but I would love to see him get 500 at bats and see what happens.  It includes a lot of strikeouts, though.  Played solid defensively, too.  (42.1 Runs Created, 12.4 Runs Saved = 54.55 Total Run Production)

Carlos Gonzalez (COL):  Can play here – would rather see him than Hawpe.  Gonzalez had half the playing time and nearly the same overall production…  (49.0 Runs Created, 4.7 Runs Saved = 53.75 Total Run Production)

Will Venable (SD):  Split time with Brian Giles and by the end of the season the job was his.  Hits for power and could have room for growth.  (49.1 Runs Created, 1.3 Runs Saved = 50.42 Total Run Production)

Elijah Dukes (WAS):  As a full-timer, would rank higher.  He’s just not GREAT – rather, he’s okay…  Power, not enough patience, and a tolerable fielder.  (48.8 Runs Created, -1.4 Runs Saved = 47.47 Total Run Production)

Jeremy Hermida (FLA):  His normal position, his attempts to play left notwithstanding.  One hopes he finds his potential…  I wrote about his failings in the Left Field section.  (55.9 Runs Created, -8.7 Runs Saved = 47.20 Total Run Production)

Jonny Gomes (CIN):  Saw more time in left, but wasn’t embarrassing in right either.  Somebody is going to give him a contract – not everyone can hit 20 homers in about 350 at bats.  (52.9 Runs Created, -8.5 Runs Saved = 44.43 Total Run Production)

Corey Hart (MIL):  Tolerable offense, but a horrible year with the glove.  It’s hopefully a fluke and not a Brad Hawpe level problem…  (64.8 Runs Created, -22.0 Runs Saved = 42.82 Total Run Production)

Nate Schierholtz (SF):  May inherit the job.  Good luck.  He’s got young legs, but hasn’t proven that he can hit enough for the position. (34.8 Runs Created, 8.0 Runs Saved = 42.79 Total Run Production)

Brian Giles (SD):  Hit the end of the road with a big clunk.  Sorry to see him go – a great player for a lot of years on some very bad teams.  (19.6 Runs Created, 0.4 Runs Saved = 20.04 Total Run Production)

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Filed under Andre Ethier, Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Brad Hawpe, Brian Giles, Carlos Gonzalez, Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds, Cody Ross, Colorado Rockies, Corey Hart, Elijah Dukes, Florida Marlins, Houston Astros, Hunter Pence, Jay Bruce, Jayson Werth, Jeff Francoeur, Jeremy Hermida, Jonny Gomes, Justin Upton, Kosuke Fukudome, Los Angeles Dodgers, Matt Diaz, Milton Bradley, Milwaukee Brewers, Nate Schierholtz, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, Randy Winn, Ryan Ludwick, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals, Will Venable

February 23, 2010

Top NL Centerfielders in 2009

Matt Kemp (LAD):  The best centerfielder in baseball for 2009.  Hit close to .300 in Dodger Stadium with power and some patience.  As an outfielder, he’s graceful and fast – which also helps him steal bases.  And, he’s just getting his career started.  (120.9 Runs Created, 15.4 Runs Saved = 136.27 Total Run Production)

Mike Cameron (MIL):  Now with Boston, Cameron had the same type season he’s had for a decade now.   Hits for decent power, draws a few walks, doesn’t run as much as he used to – and still plays a mean centerfield.  Time may be running out, but he’s been very, very good for a long time.  (91.4 Runs Created, 12.7 Runs Saved = 104.12 Total Run Production)

Nyjer Morgan (WAS):  I mentioned him with the left fielders because that’s where he played in Pittsburgh, but he was equally impressive defensively in Washington as a centerfielder.  And, as a hitter, he was electrifying as a National.  One hopes he returns and leads the team with about 110 runs scored.  (76.2 Runs Created + 26.9 Runs Saved = 103.1 Total Run Production)

Michael Bourn (HOU):  Got a lot of hits and a few walks helping to a .355 OBP.  Steals a lot of bases (61) but for a burner isn’t the same defensively as Cameron.  Still – a valuable commodity on a team that could use a few more players of his production.  (98.0 Runs Created, 1.2 Runs Saved = 99.19 Total Run Production)

Nate McLouth (PIT/ATL):  Even hitting 20 homers with a .350+ OBP, it seemed like an offseason for McClouth.  Missed more than a month of games – so if he gets back to 150 games, he’ll move up two or three notches.  (84.4 Runs Created, 0.6 Runs Saved = 85.0 Total Run Production)

Tony Gwynn (SD):  The only centerfielder with 800 or more innings to make 3 plays per nine, JR doesn’t hit like his dad, but he moves like the younger version of his dad.  In San Diego, that helps a lot.  There’s some room to improve here, but without any power, he needs to get his OBP near .400 to be among the great ones.  (57.0 Runs Created, 25.15 Runs Saved = 82.20 Total Run Production)

Kosuke Fukudome (CHC):  Not really a centerfielder, as the Cubs found out.  Gets on base, but really isn’t that good a hitter, and a mild disappointment to the Bleacher Bums.  On the other hand, new centerfielder Marlon Byrd was less productive than Fukudome in 2009.  (75.7 Runs Created, 1.88 Runs Saved = 77.56 Total Run Production)

Shane Victorino (PHI):  Has become an offensive force with midrange power and speed, but looking at the defensive stats, maybe he should go back to right and let Jayson Werth try his hand at center.  Either that, or he just needs to take charge more…  (102.9 Runs Created, -25.6 Runs Saved = 77.31 Total Run Production)

I mentioned Marlon Byrd.  The new Cubs centerfielder would rank here based on 2009 production…

Cody Ross (FLA):  A fan favorite, but isn’t really fast enough to cover center – a heck of a right fielder, though…  Has some power, swings at a lot of stuff – does it all with a smile that every mom would be proud of.  (79.9 Runs Created, -6.5 Runs Saved = 73.39 Total Run Production)

Carlos Beltran (NYM):  Still ranks highly despite missing 81 games because, well, he’s still an incredible talent.  Was off to perhaps his best start ever before the knees gave out – .325 and maybe 20 homers with a killer OBP and 20 steals.  If he’s healthy, he’s the top player at the position.  A big IF, though…  (68.5 Runs Created, 4.5 Runs Saved = 73.01 Total Run Production)

Andrew McCutchen (PIT):  There’s a lot to love – and one wishes that Pittsburgh could have kept him, Jason Bay, and McClouth in the outfield just to see how many runs they could have produced.  He’s got some learning to do in the outfield, but I liked what I saw in 2009.  Power, Speed, Patience – the three cornerstones of a great player.  (78.2 Runs Created, -13.9 Runs Saved = 64.32 Total Run Production)

Colby Rasmus (STL):  The Cardinals think he’s the real deal and he’s certainly off to a great start.  I don’t think he’s as fast as McCutchen and in a few years, the power will even out.  As such, I think McCutchen will be the greater star.  McCutchen had the better batting average, OBP and slugging numbers – but Rasmus looked a little more polished in the field.  (62.5 Runs Created, 1.4 Runs Saved = 63.91 Total Run Production)

Aaron Rowand (SF):  May have lost a step, and his offensive numbers (as expected) have slipped some since arriving in San Francisco from Philadelphia.  No better than a run-of-the-mill outfielder these days.  (66.2 Runs created, -3.5 Runs Saved = 62.67 Total Run Production)

Angel Pagan (NYM):  Beltran’s usual replacement, hit .306 with some power and a little patience.  Isn’t quite in Beltran’s league as a fielder, but the Mets certainly could have done worse.  He could start for a few other teams.  (63.5 Runs Created, -4.7 Runs Saved = 58.82 Total Run Production)

Gerardo Parra (ARI):  Played a few hundred innings in center – not too badly.  He’s the third rookie of this group (Fowler, below, would be fourth) and he might not be too bad either…  (56.0 Runs Created, -2.5 Runs Saved = 53.49 Total Run Production)

Dexter Fowler (COL):  Scrappy hitter, steals a few bases, but otherwise is about a league average offensive performer – not as much range as you would like.  Fowler was nowhere near responsible for the return of Colorado to the playoffs.  (62.0 Runs Created, -9.1 Runs Saved = 52.93 Total Run Production)

Rick Ankiel (STL):  Now plying his trade in Kansas City, the oft-injured Ankiel’s story seems to be heading in the wrong direction, wouldn’t you think?  Batting average fell, power has fallen since being tagged as a steroid user, and his OBP was .287.  Fielded better than other years, but missed a lot of innings…  Lord help the Royals.  (43.7 Runs Created, 7.9 Runs Saved = 51.59 Total Run Production)

Carlos Gomez, the Twins centfielder who takes over for Mike Cameron in Milwaukee, would rank here.

Elijah Dukes (WAS):  Got some time here – not horrible, but not really what the Nationals had in mind.  Could still work out as a corner outfielder or fourth outfielder.  (48.8 Runs Created, -1.4 Runs Saved = 47.47 Total Run Production)

Willy Taveras (CIN):  What happened?  Suddenly lost his batting stroke and finished at .240.  Ouch.  Will find a job as a fifth outfielder, pinch hitter, but probably will never be a regular again.  Unless Kansas City calls.  (36.0 Runs Created, 10.8 Runs Saved = 46.78 Total Run Production)

Chris Dickerson (CIN):  Played the fourth outfielder role, but should be the starter in center for 2010.  Gets on base, runs, covers ground in the outfield.  Not quite a leadoff hitter, but not a problem there or in the two spot.  (38.2 Runs Created, 7.8 Runs Saved = 45.98 Total Run Production)

Willie Harris (WAS):  Can play all three outfield positions, gets on base even with a low batting average and has pop in the bat.  Valuable bench guy for any team…  (48.4 Runs Created, -4.3 Runs Saved = 44.11 Total Run Production)

Chris Young (ARI):  This is what happens when a .240 hitter goes into an extended slump – his whole game suffers.  Hits for power on those occasions he makes contact, but was a zero in every other way.  (39.6 Runs Created, -8.0 Runs Saved = 43.02 Total Run Production)

Ryan Spilborghs (COL):  If he played in center, instead of Fowler, they’d lose nothing defensively and if his bat returns, would get some more offense, too.  I don’t PROMISE that, but I do believe that.  (40.0 Runs Created, 0.0 Runs Saved = 40.01 Total Run Production)

Jordan Schafer (ATL):  Injured after earning a spot in the lineup, spent too long trying to play through a wrist injury and killed his first shot at a regular position…  Now has a fight to get his job back now that McLouth is in town.  Can fly in the outfield – will get a job somewhere.  (16.3 Runs Created, 7.7 Runs Saved = 24.03 Total Run Production)

Cameron Maybin (FLA):  Another burner in the outfield – has some power but needs to make more contact.  Will be the starter in Florida for 2010, but needs to hit in months that start with something other than S.  (21.7 Runs Created, 2.2 Runs Saved = 23.95 Total Run Production)

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February 21, 2010

All Pitchers Ranked by Runs Saved

Listed below is the Runs Saved Data for all active pitchers sorted by an “established value” ranking.  What I have done is calculated how many runs saved a pitcher had (taking into account the park and the defense behind him) each of the past four years.  The “SUM” column is the total number of runs saved in the last three seasons.  The ESTABLISHED VALUE column is a simple formula equal to:

((3*2009)+(2*2008)+(1*2007)/6

The object is to list the best pitchers in baseball heading into 2010 based on established values.  969 pitchers are listed – so if it’s a long post, I apologize.  On the other hand, it’s hard to argue with the rankings.

Here’s the list:

First Last 2006 2007 2008 2009 SUM EST. VALUE
Zack Greinke 0.785 14.03 17.71 65.61 97.35 41.05
Roy Halladay 43.79 20.38 40.76 47.11 108.25 40.54
C.C. Sabathia 25.46 44.86 45.27 25.74 115.87 35.44
Danny Haren 9.148 23.38 32.67 40.25 96.29 34.91
Tim Lincecum 5.386 42.12 38.8 86.31 34.34
Cliff Lee -0.56 -14.6 49.39 31.31 66.13 29.69
Adam Wainwright 13.68 9.601 15.33 43.19 68.12 28.31
Jon Lester 3.742 1.672 32.58 33.22 67.47 27.75
Javier Vazquez -1.97 31.93 12.44 36.39 80.76 27.66
Johan Santana 47.19 23.38 42.8 18.21 84.40 27.27
Felix Hernandez -6.96 20.7 21.39 32.14 74.24 26.65
Ubaldo Jimenez 0.644 2.145 19.79 38.3 60.23 26.10
Jair Jurrjens 1.177 16.91 38.16 56.24 24.91
Chris Carpenter 36.13 -2.07 2.741 48.57 49.24 24.85
Matt Cain 3.779 19.47 13.21 30.62 63.29 22.95
Mark Buehrle -9.13 31.58 23.86 18.63 74.07 22.53
Mariano Rivera 25.61 15.1 27.15 21.3 63.55 22.22
Joe Nathan 25.41 22.87 21.28 21.13 65.29 21.47
John Danks -8.03 38.87 19.55 50.39 21.39
Josh Beckett -1.95 34.42 11.7 20.09 66.21 19.68
Ted Lilly 7.195 18.18 8.62 26.14 52.94 18.97
Josh Johnson 20.02 -7.09 9.325 33.68 35.92 18.77
Jonathan Papelbon 30.25 20.09 12.45 22.21 54.75 18.60
Jake Peavy 0.757 43.13 26.24 4.588 73.96 18.23
Joakim Soria 17.54 22.11 15.87 55.52 18.23
Aaron Cook 21.35 9.873 22.07 17.13 49.07 17.57
Roy Oswalt 42.52 39.01 13.95 10.42 63.38 16.36
Cole Hamels 10.95 25.07 32.93 1.68 59.68 16.00
Ryan Dempster -6.66 -0.92 30.94 11.01 41.04 15.67
Wandy Rodriguez -23.9 3.037 2.388 28.51 33.94 15.56
John Lackey 7.563 36.6 13.21 9.332 59.14 15.17
Tim Hudson -10.6 28.04 24.42 4.533 56.99 15.08
Matt Thornton 10.25 2.517 18.18 17.04 37.74 15.00
J.A. Happ -2.91 4.014 28.09 29.19 14.90
Justin Verlander 22.53 24.63 -6.65 25.73 43.70 14.75
Takashi Saito 25.57 25.16 9.603 14.67 49.43 14.73
Brandon Webb 47.16 38.04 29.9 -3.42 64.52 14.60
Carlos Marmol -12.6 25.81 14.79 9.588 50.19 14.03
George Sherrill 1.761 13.67 0.246 23.3 37.21 14.01
Hideki Okajima 20.96 14.58 10.91 46.45 13.81
Andrew Bailey 27.55 27.55 13.78
Scott Downs 6.432 16.52 22.02 7.24 45.78 13.71
Darren Oliver 6.882 4.525 13.27 16.79 34.59 13.57
Brad Ziegler 22.03 12.18 34.21 13.43
Jered Weaver 26.68 11.9 2.851 20.8 35.55 13.33
Rich Harden 2.767 6.495 35.57 0.393 42.46 13.14
Ryan Franklin 3.515 13.11 5.389 17.86 36.36 12.91
Erik Bedard 14.92 36.16 4.994 10.2 51.35 12.79
Ramon Ramirez 12.11 -5.22 20.64 13.38 28.81 12.70
LaTroy Hawkins 2.816 10.52 5.757 16.29 32.57 11.82
Ryan Madson -11.9 10.68 15.18 9.68 35.54 11.68
Jeremy Affeldt -13 7.955 6.568 16.23 30.76 11.63
Scott Baker -19.6 1.802 18.24 10.46 30.50 11.61
Carlos Zambrano 24.44 14.04 11.49 10.84 36.37 11.59
Heath Bell -8.01 26.13 5.754 10.6 42.49 11.58
Tommy Hanson 22.81 22.81 11.41
Clayton Kershaw 2.088 21.32 23.41 11.36
Jose Valverde -1.49 14 7.676 12.57 34.24 11.18
Bobby Jenks 7.099 17.39 16.92 4.903 39.21 10.99
Gavin Floyd -14.8 -2.82 16.54 11.69 25.40 10.89
Randy Wells 2.768 19.32 22.08 10.58
Ben Sheets 9.373 14.36 24.56 38.92 10.58
Brandon Lyon 9.363 15.29 -0.58 16.16 30.87 10.43
Francisco Cordero 11.66 11.14 9.978 10.3 31.41 10.33
Daisuke Matsuzaka 12.63 30.14 -4.15 38.62 10.08
A.J. Burnett 11.29 15.24 6.745 10.4 32.39 9.99
Michael Wuertz 7.963 8.174 -0.2 17.04 25.02 9.82
Jose Mijares 4.328 16.41 20.74 9.65
Trevor Hoffman 15.43 6.77 2.247 15.49 24.51 9.62
Yovani Gallardo 11.61 7.146 10.58 29.33 9.61
Jim Johnson -6.52 -0.84 18.2 7.248 24.61 9.55
Jonathan Broxton 19.13 16.32 5.213 9.999 31.53 9.46
Rafael Soriano 17.18 11.02 2.616 13.42 27.05 9.42
Jason Marquis -35.9 -10.2 -1.75 23.33 11.34 9.38
Chad Qualls 9.5 17.24 11.44 5.339 34.02 9.36
Joe Beimel 14.8 8.501 13.79 6.617 28.91 9.32
John Grabow 6.554 2.065 14.38 8.358 24.81 9.32
Matt Guerrier 8.374 23.03 -11.4 18.41 30.09 9.26
Rafael Betancourt 6.909 31.51 -3.62 9.54 37.43 8.81
J.C. Romero -19.4 18.32 13.4 2.338 34.06 8.69
Mike Adams -1.81 13.72 8.14 21.86 8.64
Brian Fuentes 13.48 9.198 13.6 5.138 27.94 8.64
Huston Street 9.783 5.723 3.106 12.98 21.81 8.48
Brad Bergesen 16.91 16.91 8.45
Doug Davis -10.5 6.08 5.633 10.85 22.57 8.32
Darren O’Day -1.77 17.64 15.88 8.23
Russ Springer 9.007 16.19 11.51 3.015 30.72 8.04
Peter Moylan 0.136 19.56 2.007 8.127 29.70 7.99
Shaun Marcum 1.436 9.527 19.19 28.72 7.98
Jason Frasor 4.823 1.616 1.754 14.11 17.48 7.91
John Lannan -0.64 4.812 12.76 16.93 7.88
Francisco Rodriguez 22.04 15.13 14.41 0.9 30.45 7.78
Arthur Rhodes -0.12 9.552 9.125 18.68 7.75
Kiko Calero 9.062 -5.94 -1.03 18.13 11.15 7.73
Kevin Millwood 15.05 -12.9 -1.88 20.57 5.83 7.51
Justin Duchscherer 11.98 -0.82 22.16 21.34 7.25
Craig Breslow 1.847 11.83 6.506 18.33 7.19
Frank Francisco 0.411 0.577 12.37 5.938 18.89 7.19
J.P. Howell -0.74 -18.5 12.39 12.28 6.18 7.19
Alfredo Aceves 8.523 8.449 16.97 7.07
Nick Masset 1.152 -8.67 4.457 13.89 9.67 6.98
Edinson Volquez -7.12 1.215 24.06 -2.69 22.58 6.88
Hong-Chih Kuo 5.619 -7.57 19.32 3.328 15.08 6.84
Jeremy Guthrie -4 20.86 18.81 -6.26 33.42 6.62
Chad Billingsley 10.48 27.22 23.93 -11.8 39.32 6.60
D.J. Carrasco 5.714 8.58 14.29 6.20
Taylor Buchholz -20 7.459 14.65 22.10 6.13
Angel Guzman -18 4.016 -1.08 11.63 14.56 6.12
Octavio Dotel -7.49 0.25 6.008 7.749 14.01 5.92
Billy Wagner 14.54 12.08 6.296 3.596 21.97 5.91
Joey Devine -3.57 3.389 15.84 19.23 5.85
Jon Rauch 8.919 4.939 2.452 8.346 15.74 5.81
Philip Hughes 2.313 -5.62 14.59 11.29 5.81
Manny Delcarmen -1.21 13.21 11.08 -0.19 24.10 5.80
Brian Bruney 9.473 0.466 11.7 3.633 15.80 5.79
Dennys Reyes 19.78 0.691 11.18 3.844 15.72 5.77
C.J. Wilson 3.568 13.3 -6.11 11.16 18.36 5.76
Tim Byrdak -6.34 2.196 3.276 8.467 13.94 5.69
Tyler Clippard -3.49 0.327 12.15 8.98 5.60
Todd Coffey 11.65 -6.56 1.533 12.36 7.33 5.60
Andy Pettitte 0.457 16.09 5.998 1.769 23.86 5.57
Ryan Rowland-Smith 3.134 13.72 0.817 17.68 5.51
Renyel Pinto 3.683 8.559 0.582 7.653 16.79 5.45
Ronald Belisario 10.85 10.85 5.42
Joe Saunders -9.32 3.289 20.17 -3.71 19.74 5.41
Manuel Corpas 6.119 23.5 6.137 -1.12 28.52 5.40
Neftali Feliz 10.74 10.74 5.37
Ron Mahay 4.195 16.3 6.48 0.813 23.59 5.28
Kerry Wood -2.43 3.855 10.01 2.536 16.40 5.25
Scott Eyre 8.095 1.566 1.306 9.049 11.92 5.22
Mike Gonzalez 17.36 5.904 -2.02 9.785 13.67 5.20
Kelvim Escobar -2.39 28.98 0.651 29.63 5.16
Blake Hawksworth 10.26 10.26 5.13
Tim Wakefield 0.676 0.02 6.227 6.086 12.33 5.12
Dave Weathers 12.01 10.46 10.4 -0.24 20.63 5.09
Gil Meche -10.4 18.78 10.73 -3.23 26.27 5.09
Chad Bradford 8.93 8.44 10.72 0.213 19.38 5.09
Clay Condrey 5.414 -3.62 10.96 3.997 11.34 5.05
Jesse Carlson 15.42 -0.24 15.19 5.02
Jorge de la Rosa -13.7 -18.3 1.37 15.12 -1.83 4.96
Trever Miller 10.22 0.652 -2.23 11.11 9.53 4.92
J.J. Putz 21.98 28.92 4.571 -2.88 30.61 4.90
Jason Grilli 2.333 -1.29 15.37 -0.49 13.59 4.66
Derek Lowe 31.78 14.95 20.87 -9.58 26.25 4.66
Bobby Seay -2.88 13.72 3.177 2.183 19.08 4.44
Jeff Francis 19.21 21.71 2.451 24.16 4.44
Brian Duensing 8.859 8.86 4.43
Leo Nunez 1.03 2.583 6.043 3.914 12.54 4.40
Jeremy Accardo -5.01 17.55 -3.56 5.318 19.31 4.40
Dan Wheeler 16.36 -6.35 5.079 7.465 6.19 4.37
Scott Feldman 5.564 -3.81 -10.1 16.73 2.81 4.36
Pedro Feliciano 15.89 5.342 2.148 5.359 12.85 4.29
Ricky Romero 8.567 8.57 4.28
Brian Wilson -4.09 6.389 -1.24 7.21 12.36 4.26
Justin Miller 8.342 -1.76 6.894 13.48 4.25
Joba Chamberlain 11.27 23.77 -11.1 23.93 4.25
Claudio Vargas 1.78 -7.06 -2.06 12.07 2.95 4.17
Jarrod Washburn -7.03 9.172 -5.24 8.319 12.25 3.94
Steven Shell 11.82 -0.22 11.60 3.83
Brian Sanches -1.33 -3.28 -4.35 11.64 4.01 3.82
Matt Garza -6.73 -2.88 -1.79 9.743 5.07 3.79
Matt Herges -4.93 10.58 -0.94 4.625 14.26 3.76
Sean Burnett -1.61 8.532 6.92 3.73
Justin Masterson 15.44 -2.9 12.54 3.70
Kyle McClellan 0.718 6.885 7.60 3.68
Rick Porcello 7.3 7.30 3.65
Fu-Te Ni 7.251 7.25 3.63
Tony Pena -1.91 10.7 3.169 1.518 15.39 3.60
Jake Westbrook 13.22 10.84 5.229 16.06 3.55
Brad Kilby 7.091 7.09 3.55
Jorge Campillo -3.01 -4.12 13.59 -0.78 8.70 3.46
Kevin Gregg -3.91 13.89 5.643 -1.68 17.85 3.36
Aquilino Lopez -0.27 10.18 9.91 3.35
Kenshin Kawakami 6.653 6.65 3.33
Brandon Medders 6.212 0.177 0.057 6.445 6.68 3.27
Randy Wolf -3.37 4.512 -11.3 12.52 5.73 3.25
Sean Marshall -17.5 2.421 5.433 1.94 9.79 3.18
Chad Durbin 2.297 0.594 13.96 -3.25 11.30 3.12
Marc Rzepczynski 6.224 6.22 3.11
Joe Nelson 4.77 12 -1.81 10.20 3.10
Sean White -3.47 7.288 3.82 3.07
Ramon Troncoso -0.31 6.292 5.98 3.04
Jason Bulger -2.54 1.493 -4.88 8.82 5.44 3.03
Matt Daley 5.966 5.97 2.98
Esmailin Caridad 5.916 5.92 2.96
Jesse Litsch 3.633 13.06 -4.05 12.65 2.94
Juan Cruz 11.63 5.461 11.1 -3.4 13.16 2.91
Clay Zavada 5.741 5.74 2.87
Robinson Tejeda 4.298 -23.3 1.289 12.65 -9.39 2.87
Tyler Walker -6.32 5.564 -2.76 5.683 8.49 2.85
Samuel Gervacio 5.699 5.70 2.85
Ryan Speier 2.366 6.708 0.389 9.46 2.82
Brian Shouse 2.635 6.722 6.518 -0.97 12.27 2.81
Joaquin Benoit -0.61 17.9 -0.72 17.18 2.74
Brandon League 7.443 -1.79 8.282 0.554 7.05 2.74
Grant Balfour -7.89 18.71 -4.37 6.45 2.74
Justin Hampson -2.28 9.168 3.589 12.76 2.72
David Aardsma 3.572 -4.26 -6.37 11.03 0.41 2.68
Mark DiFelice 2.447 3.693 6.14 2.66
Juan Gutierrez -1.58 5.844 4.27 2.66
Joel Pineiro -40.4 2.068 -15.5 14.86 1.40 2.60
Max Scherzer 6.901 0.586 7.49 2.59
Mitch Stetter 0.698 3.614 2.463 6.78 2.55
Justin Berg 5.086 5.09 2.54
Manny Acosta 6.301 4.28 0.042 10.62 2.50
Ken Takahashi 4.936 4.94 2.47
Joe Smith 3.712 3.082 1.643 8.44 2.47
Javier Lopez -0.38 6.378 13.18 -6.04 13.52 2.44
Tony Sipp 4.853 4.85 2.43
Shawn Camp -0.06 -12.1 2.574 7.169 -2.38 2.42
Jose Arredondo 16.69 -6.28 10.41 2.42
Zach Miner -3.23 7.944 5.383 -1.42 11.91 2.41
Jared Burton 8.856 7.714 -3.36 13.21 2.37
Franklyn German 2.374 7.022 7.02 2.34
Matt Palmer -7.05 9.255 2.20 2.28
Koji Uehara 4.521 4.52 2.26
Lance Cormier -4.05 -15.6 1.941 8.42 -5.27 2.25
Alberto Castillo 2.745 2.645 5.39 2.24
Lee Gardner 22.36 -4.52 17.83 2.22
Mike Hinckley 6.07 0.311 6.38 2.18
Josh Outman -2.76 5.965 3.20 2.06
Luke Gregerson 3.969 3.97 1.98
Jensen Lewis 8.671 5.719 -2.78 11.61 1.96
David Robertson -0.32 4.103 3.78 1.94
Jeff Fulchino 0.181 -7.9 9.128 1.23 1.93
Doug Brocail -3.39 3.483 3.836 0.125 7.44 1.92
Tim Wood 3.811 3.81 1.91
Ricky Nolasco -13 -3.16 22.2 -9.97 9.07 1.89
James Shields 2.308 16.91 1.043 -2.6 15.35 1.87
Daniel Bard 3.724 3.72 1.86
Bill Bray 0.974 -1.73 6.395 4.66 1.84
Alberto Arias 0.295 1.449 2.53 4.27 1.80
Sergio Romo 3.989 0.892 4.88 1.78
Randy Choate 0.734 0 3.493 3.49 1.75
Cesar Jimenez -8.85 5.183 5.18 1.73
Jeff Niemann -5.87 7.362 1.49 1.72
Dan Runzler 3.281 3.28 1.64
Pat Neshek 11.14 11.11 -0.66 10.45 1.63
Chris Perez 2.863 1.345 4.21 1.63
Rudy Seanez -2.31 10.38 -0.42 9.96 1.59
Jeff Bennett 1.669 9.632 -3.82 7.48 1.58
Cory Wade 13.78 -6.09 7.70 1.55
Aaron Fultz 2.748 9.156 9.16 1.53
Franklin Morales 7.411 -2.3 2.071 7.18 1.50
Freddy Dolsi 5.224 -0.52 4.71 1.48
Aaron Poreda 2.941 2.94 1.47
Kameron Mickolio -0.93 3.536 2.61 1.46
Madison Bumgarner 2.87 2.87 1.44
Roman Colon -0.27 2.847 2.85 1.42
Matt Capps 9.767 21.35 7.814 -9.53 19.63 1.40
Eddie Guardado 0.788 -3.03 5.614 0.053 2.64 1.39
Jonathan Meloan -4.31 1.049 3.456 0.20 1.36
Akinori Otsuka 17.58 8.07 8.07 1.34
Luis Vizcaino 12.49 5.711 -0.16 0.848 6.40 1.32
Orlando Hernandez -5.33 7.889 7.89 1.31
Carlos Rosa 0.732 2.139 2.87 1.31
Brendan Donnelly -1.46 3.372 -5.79 5.321 2.91 1.29
Dustin McGowan -10.6 11.29 -1.8 9.50 1.28
Bobby Howry 13.39 11.96 -8.03 3.929 7.86 1.28
Phil Stockman 1.17 3.796 3.80 1.27
Chad Cordero 10.14 5.113 1.239 6.35 1.27
Doug Mathis -5.66 6.268 0.61 1.25
Paul Maholm 5.429 -9.08 17.96 -6.52 2.36 1.21
Evan Meek -4.25 5.215 0.96 1.19
Fernando Nieve 5.529 -5.05 5.713 0.66 1.17
J.D. Martin 2.318 2.32 1.16
Leo Rosales 1.725 1.078 2.80 1.11
Esmerling Vasquez 2.219 2.22 1.11
Andrew Brown 1.624 0.051 3.292 3.34 1.11
Robert Manuel 2.181 2.18 1.09
Phil Coke 6.792 -2.36 4.43 1.08
Randy Messenger -10.7 4.073 1.711 -0.37 5.41 1.06
Scott Linebrink 4.715 2.2 7.165 -3.52 5.85 1.00
Henry Owens -2.32 5.899 5.90 0.98
Danys Baez 0.507 -7.2 4.364 -2.83 0.98
Bill Murphy -0.49 2.124 1.64 0.98
Ryan Perry 1.878 1.88 0.94
Fernando Rodney 2.524 1.39 0.435 1.071 2.90 0.91
Anibal Sanchez 21.7 0.548 -8.14 7.066 -0.53 0.91
Dustin Richardson 1.783 1.78 0.89
T.J. Beam -7.05 2.675 2.67 0.89
John Smoltz 32.85 27.56 7.084 -12.2 22.44 0.85
Jason Isringhausen 5.678 12.68 -7.01 2.154 7.82 0.85
David Riske 4.787 18.93 -4.47 -1.62 12.83 0.85
Salomon Torres 12.04 -4 4.469 0.46 0.82
Rich Rundles 1.626 0.535 2.16 0.81
Ron Villone -3.53 3.974 -2.18 1.721 3.52 0.80
Kyle Farnsworth 2.555 -0.79 2.228 0.351 1.79 0.79
Kent Mercker 1.841 2.355 2.35 0.78
Cesar Ramos 1.558 1.56 0.78
Noah Lowry -8.94 4.315 4.31 0.72
Brian Matusz 1.245 1.25 0.62
Steven Jackson 1.153 1.15 0.58
Daniel Hudson 1.125 1.13 0.56
Jamie Vermilyea 3.3 3.30 0.55
Nick Green 1.07 1.07 0.54
Joe Blanton -8.88 11.08 -16.9 8.569 2.80 0.51
Scott Patterson 1.523 1.52 0.51
Ernesto Frieri 1.007 1.01 0.50
Mitch Atkins 1.007 1.01 0.50
Doug Waechter -9.37 3.879 -1.61 2.27 0.49
Mark McLemore 2.934 2.93 0.49
Jerry Blevins -3.97 3.532 -0.08 -0.51 0.48
Chris Britton 7.299 2.139 0.34 2.48 0.47
B.J. Ryan 28.7 -4.79 9.357 -3.72 0.85 0.46
Matt Lindstrom 11.18 8.747 -8.68 11.25 0.44
Daniel McCutchen 0.871 0.87 0.44
Brad Salmon 2.48 2.48 0.41
Brian Gordon 1.23 1.23 0.41
Jon Adkins -1 0.533 0.954 1.49 0.41
Tanyon Sturtze -4.11 1.208 1.21 0.40
Kevin Cameron 3.728 -4.88 2.795 1.65 0.39
Freddy Garcia 5.623 -8.43 0.333 3.376 -4.72 0.39
Chin-hui Tsao 2.192 2.19 0.37
D.J. Houlton 2.143 2.14 0.36
Jim Miller 1.051 1.05 0.35
Wes Littleton 13.77 4.058 -0.98 3.07 0.35
John Parrish -4.23 3.144 -1.08 0.34
Guillermo Moscoso 0.671 0.67 0.34
John Axford 0.671 0.67 0.34
Romulo Sanchez 0.16 0.912 1.07 0.33
Chris Schroder -7.7 2.796 -0.43 2.37 0.32
A.J. Murray 0.829 0.546 1.38 0.32
Mark Melancon 0.629 0.63 0.31
Jhoulys Chacin 0.611 0.61 0.31
Julio Mateo 0.739 1.828 1.83 0.30
Tobi Stoner 0.609 0.61 0.30
Scott Atchison 1.823 1.82 0.30
Jeff Gray -2.19 2.065 -0.12 0.30
Dan Giese -0.21 2.889 -1.26 1.42 0.30
Scott Lewis 3.62 -1.82 1.80 0.30
Randy Williams 0.59 0.59 0.30
Bob Wickman 7.919 1.752 1.75 0.29
Nick Blackburn -6.82 -10.1 9.589 -7.35 0.29
Erasmo Ramirez 1.61 1.61 0.27
Nick Swisher 0.535 0.54 0.27
Ambiorix Burgos -3.9 1.549 1.55 0.26
Damaso Marte 4.08 10.95 5.883 -7.06 9.78 0.26
Kris Medlen 0.509 0.51 0.25
Cody Ross 0.503 0.50 0.25
Ross Gload 0.503 0.50 0.25
Neal Musser 0.298 0.525 0.82 0.22
Keiichi Yabu 0.648 0.65 0.22
Heath Phillips 1.279 1.28 0.21
Tyler Johnson -2.11 1.274 1.27 0.21
Dustin Nippert -6.06 -4.82 -7.59 7.075 -5.33 0.21
Jon Coutlangus 1.23 1.23 0.20
Troy Patton 1.203 1.20 0.20
Lee Gronkiewicz 1.175 1.17 0.20
Vinnie Chulk -3.78 5.428 -2.45 0.215 3.19 0.19
Troy Cate 1.147 1.15 0.19
Harvey Garcia 1.123 1.12 0.19
Esmil Rogers 0.371 0.37 0.19
Jonathan Van Every 0.357 0.36 0.18
Luis Valdez 0.355 0.36 0.18
Joseph Bisenius 1.066 1.07 0.18
Alex Serrano 0.525 0.52 0.17
Brandon Morrow 7.157 8.268 -7.55 7.87 0.17
Tom Martin 0.215 1.031 1.03 0.17
Ron Flores 4.901 1.006 1.01 0.17
Scott Kazmir 23.12 19.56 7.398 -11.1 15.83 0.16
Nelson Figueroa -4.11 3.054 -1.06 0.16
Chris Narveson -0.13 0.282 0.28 0.14
Eric Hull 0.815 0.81 0.14
Burke Badenhop -9.39 6.521 -2.87 0.13
John Thomson -11.4 0.763 0.76 0.13
Darren Clarke 0.711 0.71 0.12
Matt Miller 2.806 0.55 0.55 0.09
Jon Huber 6.027 0.507 0.51 0.08
Mark Loretta 0.168 0.17 0.08
Scott Munter -11.3 0.499 0.50 0.08
Jason Stanford 0.49 0.49 0.08
Francis Beltran 0.226 0.23 0.08
Josh Hancock 3.337 0.425 0.42 0.07
Henry Rodriguez 0.136 0.14 0.07
Humberto Sanchez 0.147 0.15 0.05
Ervin Santana -9.28 -20 24.04 -9.27 -5.27 0.04
Will Ohman 5.227 -0.89 5.361 -3.21 1.27 0.03
Scott Williamson -6.34 0.133 0.13 0.02
Jesus Delgado 0.039 0.04 0.01
Keith Foulke 4.461 0.034 0.03 0.01
Aaron Miles -1.04 0.518 -0.52 0.00
Juan Perez -0.95 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01
Ricardo Rincon -2.35 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02
Waldis Joaquin -0.04 -0.04 -0.02
Shane Komine -0.26 -0.14 -0.14 -0.02
Bryan Bullington -1.32 -1.28 1.24 -1.35 -0.02
Steve Colyer -0.15 -0.15 -0.02
Ty Taubenheim -1.6 -2.38 1.109 -1.27 -0.03
John Bale 3.628 0.775 -1.79 2.62 -0.03
Eric Hurley -0.09 -0.09 -0.03
Valerio de los Santos -0.14 -0.14 -0.05
Brian Stokes 0.719 -16.4 3.464 3.054 -9.87 -0.05
Jason Waddell -0.11 -0.11 -0.06
Kason Gabbard 3.657 3.46 -1.9 1.56 -0.06
Daniel Davidson -0.12 -0.12 -0.06
Scot Shields 14 6.514 3.622 -4.72 5.42 -0.06
Mike Koplove 0.745 -0.43 -0.43 -0.07
Roy Corcoran -5.71 7.53 -5.17 2.36 -0.07
Sergio Escalona -0.18 -0.18 -0.09
Lino Urdaneta -0.57 -0.57 -0.10
Carmen Cali -0.58 -0.58 -0.10
Anderson Garcia -0.65 -0.65 -0.11
Zach McClellan -0.67 -0.67 -0.11
Bud Norris -0.23 -0.23 -0.11
Jose Diaz -3.58 -0.34 -0.34 -0.11
Clay Rapada -1.48 0.83 -0.29 -0.94 -0.12
Kevin Slowey -6.35 3.192 -0.25 -3.41 -0.12
Adam Russell 0.783 -0.78 0.00 -0.13
Willie Eyre -4.68 -3.4 0.863 -2.54 -0.13
Yoel Hernandez -0.91 -0.91 -0.15
Bret Prinz -0.92 -0.92 -0.15
Jamie Burke -0.46 -0.46 -0.15
Tim Harikkala -0.93 -0.93 -0.16
Kane Davis -1.02 -1.02 -0.17
Mike Myers 2.991 -1.08 -1.08 -0.18
Juan Lara 0.812 -1.13 -1.13 -0.19
Brett Anderson -0.38 -0.38 -0.19
Brian Wolfe 7.504 5.521 -6.57 6.46 -0.19
Greg Jones -2.45 -1.21 -1.21 -0.20
Rheal Cormier 14.2 -1.21 -1.21 -0.20
Dusty Brown -0.41 -0.41 -0.20
Danny Kolb -2.46 -1.23 -1.23 -0.21
Guillermo Mota 1.913 -11.5 -0.05 3.453 -8.12 -0.21
Carmen Pignatiello 0.053 -0.67 -0.62 -0.21
Francisley Bueno -0.64 -0.64 -0.21
Edwin Jackson -6.01 -31.4 -12 18.04 -25.38 -0.22
Willie Collazo -1.41 -1.41 -0.23
Steve Kline 2.312 -1.41 -1.41 -0.24
Jordan Zimmermann -0.49 -0.49 -0.24
Carlos Martinez 3.539 -2.21 0.246 -1.97 -0.25
Marcos Carvajal -1.5 -1.50 -0.25
Dusty Hughes -0.54 -0.54 -0.27
Eric Hacker -0.54 -0.54 -0.27
Chan Ho Park -20.8 -5.61 4.119 -1.42 -2.91 -0.27
Dan Serafini -1.63 -1.63 -0.27
Arnie Munoz -1.66 -1.66 -0.28
Eric O’Flaherty -3.58 3.97 -11.3 5.659 -1.68 -0.28
Fabio Castro 9.027 -1.68 -1.68 -0.28
Marcus McBeth -1.7 -1.70 -0.28
Chris Booker -4.23 -1.72 -1.72 -0.29
Justin Thomas -0.86 -0.86 -0.29
Brian Rogers -2.65 -1.76 -1.76 -0.29
John Wasdin -0.73 -1.78 -1.78 -0.30
Matt Ginter -0.94 -0.94 -0.31
Billy Sadler -1.05 0.961 -1.28 -0.32 -0.32
Erick Threets -3.94 0.988 -2.95 -0.33
Jason Motte 3.616 -3.09 0.53 -0.34
John Maine 3.901 2.218 -1.79 -0.23 0.20 -0.34
Jamie Moyer 2.158 -12.8 20.7 -10.2 -2.33 -0.35
Francisco Rosario -3.48 -2.11 -2.11 -0.35
Nate Field 1.368 -2.19 -2.19 -0.37
Jose Veras 1.095 -0.66 9.507 -6.85 2.00 -0.37
Colter Bean -0.9 -2.21 -2.21 -0.37
Chase Wright -2.22 -2.22 -0.37
Wade Davis -0.76 -0.76 -0.38
Nick Adenhart -5.95 3.21 -2.74 -0.38
Travis Driskill -2.35 -2.35 -0.39
Gustavo Chacin -0.26 -2.4 -2.40 -0.40
Brandon Knight -1.21 -1.21 -0.40
Vladimir Nunez 3.943 -3.44 0.50 -0.41
Doug Slaten 3.076 4.873 -1.67 -1.34 1.86 -0.41
Les Walrond -3.69 -1.32 -1.32 -0.44
Travis Blackley -2.64 -2.64 -0.44
Michael Dunn -0.9 -0.90 -0.45
Cla Meredith 20.46 -0.58 -1.56 0.334 -1.81 -0.45
Pedro Viola -0.91 -0.91 -0.45
Ross Detwiler 0.533 -1.09 -0.55 -0.45
Jay Witasick -5.3 -2.74 -2.74 -0.46
Dallas Braden -24.5 -4.13 9.994 -18.60 -0.46
Mike Zagurski -2.75 -2.75 -0.46
Ricky Stone -2.78 -2.78 -0.46
Bobby Livingston -7.99 -2.78 -2.78 -0.46
Jason Hammel -12.4 -13.2 -12.4 11.75 -13.89 -0.47
Francisco Cruceta -4.91 -1.42 -1.42 -0.47
Chris Resop 2.265 0.392 -1.62 -1.23 -0.48
Matt Smith 9.525 -2.91 -2.91 -0.49
Billy Petrick -2.95 -2.95 -0.49
John Ennis -2.98 -2.98 -0.50
Travis Schlichting -1.01 -1.01 -0.51
Kurt Birkins -2.22 -11.2 4.057 -7.09 -0.51
Aaron Harang 28.82 29.73 -2.75 -9.11 17.88 -0.51
Randor Bierd -1.56 -1.56 -0.52
Jon Lieber -1.05 -2.82 -0.17 -2.99 -0.53
Mike MacDougal 11.17 -10.7 5.49 -1.2 -6.40 -0.55
Josh Sharpless 4.674 -3.35 -3.35 -0.56
Connor Robertson -3.26 -0.06 -3.31 -0.56
Ray King 1.383 -1.91 -0.74 -2.65 -0.56
Randy Keisler 0.292 -3.41 -3.41 -0.57
Joel Zumaya 25.57 2.827 -0.01 -2.08 0.74 -0.57
Jose Ascanio -3.04 -2.14 1.288 -3.89 -0.57
Marty McLeary 4.992 -3.46 -3.46 -0.58
Bobby Keppel -0.06 -2.38 -0.37 -2.75 -0.58
Macay McBride 2.736 -3.52 -3.52 -0.59
Dennis Dove -3.67 -3.67 -0.61
Mauro Zarate -3.69 -3.69 -0.62
Todd Williams -5.17 -3.74 -3.74 -0.62
Devern Hansack 2.664 -0.78 -1.49 -2.27 -0.63
Wes Whisler -1.26 -1.26 -0.63
Cory Doyne -3.8 -3.80 -0.63
Chris Spurling -0.62 -3.83 -3.83 -0.64
Ryan Bukvich -1.5 -1.16 -2.67 -0.64
Yhency Brazoban 0.037 -2.76 -0.55 -3.31 -0.64
Scott Dohmann -8.42 4.523 -4.19 0.33 -0.64
Ross Ohlendorf 1.552 -13.2 6.96 -4.70 -0.67
Luke Hudson 0.179 -4 -4.00 -0.67
Ryan Wagner -6.43 -4.02 -4.02 -0.67
Jordan Tata -3.25 -4.07 -4.07 -0.68
Casey Janssen -3.25 17.41 -7.16 10.25 -0.68
Edwar Ramirez -6.79 6.479 -3.43 -3.75 -0.69
Tommy Hunter -11.6 6.346 -5.26 -0.70
Kevin Barry -2.08 -4.19 -4.19 -0.70
Jose Capellan 0.985 -4.55 0.179 -4.37 -0.70
Jaime Garcia -2.11 -2.11 -0.70
Andrew Sisco -10.4 -4.24 -4.24 -0.71
Matt Wise -0.53 -0.89 -1.68 -2.57 -0.71
Jordan De Jong -4.28 -4.28 -0.71
Eric Gagne 1.086 6.839 -5.57 1.27 -0.72
Anthony Lerew -3.92 -4.3 -0 -4.30 -0.72
Paul Byrd -18.5 5.964 -1.26 -2.59 2.11 -0.72
Geno Espineli -2.19 -2.19 -0.73
Brett Myers 21.69 3.304 0.279 -2.75 0.83 -0.73
Ruddy Lugo 9.378 -4.39 -4.39 -0.73
Jeff Ridgway -7.06 1.299 -5.76 -0.74
Kyle Lohse -12.5 -1.85 12.08 -8.93 1.30 -0.75
Daniel Barone -4.49 -4.49 -0.75
Mark Worrell -2.26 -2.26 -0.75
Mike Timlin 3.75 7.449 -6.02 1.43 -0.77
Bronson Arroyo 42.18 10.11 -5.97 -0.95 3.19 -0.78
Doug Fister -1.57 -1.57 -0.79
Antonio Alfonseca -0.27 -4.8 -4.80 -0.80
Cristhian Martinez -1.61 -1.61 -0.80
Victor Santos -11 -4.84 -4.84 -0.81
Brandon McCarthy 3.582 -4.31 1.983 -1.5 -3.83 -0.81
Juan Salas -1.24 0.335 -2.62 -2.29 -0.82
Jim Brower -17.8 -4.93 -4.93 -0.82
Tim Corcoran 3.61 -4.94 -4.94 -0.82
Jaret Wright 1.714 -4.97 -4.97 -0.83
Jason Hirsh -8.28 2.954 -4.08 -1.12 -0.87
Aaron Heilman 5.644 6.003 -11.6 3.98 -1.59 -0.87
Woody Williams -0.86 -5.22 -5.22 -0.87
Robert Ray -1.75 -1.75 -0.88
Kyle Snyder -15.2 0.903 -3.11 -2.21 -0.89
Jesse Crain 10.17 -8.67 1.163 0.337 -7.17 -0.89
Robert Mosebach -1.79 -1.79 -0.89
Jonathon Niese -4.42 1.156 -3.27 -0.90
Jae Kuk Ryu -5.97 -6.82 0.699 -6.12 -0.90
Brian Falkenborg 1.359 -0.59 -2.44 -3.03 -0.91
Geoff Geary 18.21 -8.5 14.1 -8.44 -2.84 -0.94
Devon Lowery -2.81 -2.81 -0.94
Sean Green 0.547 7.815 -4.94 -1.2 1.68 -0.94
Eddie Kunz -2.86 -2.86 -0.95
Brandon Duckworth -7.43 -4.95 -0.39 -5.35 -0.96
Mike Stanton 3.978 -5.82 -5.82 -0.97
Joe Thatcher 4.396 -14.6 6.342 -3.90 -0.97
Ryan Sadowski -1.96 -1.96 -0.98
Daryl Thompson -2.96 -2.96 -0.99
Jason Standridge -2.5 -5.99 -5.99 -1.00
Brian Tallet 7.23 7.626 10.49 -11.5 6.58 -1.00
Marcus Gwyn -6.03 -6.03 -1.00
Jesse Chavez -3.22 0.082 -3.13 -1.03
Pedro Strop -2.1 -2.10 -1.05
James Parr -0.48 -1.83 -2.31 -1.08
Carlos Muniz -0.97 -2.77 -3.74 -1.09
Jason Miller -6.63 -6.63 -1.10
R.A. Dickey -4.56 -5.21 1.262 -3.95 -1.11
Rob Bell -6.7 -6.70 -1.12
Josh Butler -2.24 -2.24 -1.12
Charlie Manning -3.37 -3.37 -1.12
Dale Thayer -2.26 -2.26 -1.13
Steven Register -3.39 -0 -3.39 -1.13
James Hoey -5.89 -6.78 -6.78 -1.13
Josh Wilson 0.55 -2.49 -1.94 -1.15
Jonathan Albaladejo 4.265 1.758 -4.95 1.08 -1.18
Mike Wood -10.5 -7.1 -7.10 -1.18
Dewon Day -7.17 -7.17 -1.20
Shane Youman 5.324 -7.18 -7.18 -1.20
Randy Johnson -11.5 5.084 10.58 -11.2 4.51 -1.21
Dirk Hayhurst -11.5 5.233 -6.24 -1.21
Carlos Guevara -3.67 -3.67 -1.22
Carlos Fisher -2.45 -2.45 -1.23
Seth McClung -17.5 -2.45 4.916 -4.92 -2.45 -1.23
Justin Speier 11.3 10.58 -6.18 -1.88 2.52 -1.23
Jake Woods 3.411 -1.77 -2.86 -4.63 -1.25
Todd Jones 3.444 5.296 -6.4 -1.11 -1.25
Ehren Wassermann 4.386 -5.97 -1.58 -1.26
Shawn Kelley -2.52 -2.52 -1.26
Al Reyes -2.83 -2.37 -5.20 -1.26
Jared Wells -3.8 -3.80 -1.27
Daniel Schlereth -2.55 -2.55 -1.27
Chad Reineke -1.85 -1.33 -3.18 -1.28
Ross Wolf -7.96 -7.96 -1.33
Chris Reitsma -11.8 -7.98 -7.98 -1.33
Chris Seddon -8.02 -8.02 -1.34
Fernando Rodriguez -2.68 -2.68 -1.34
Jailen Peguero -6.67 -0.69 -7.36 -1.34
Enrique Gonzalez -5.01 -2.8 -2.74 0.073 -5.47 -1.34
Saul Rivera 1.982 5.711 2.298 -6.21 1.80 -1.39
Troy Percival 12.88 -6.95 -2.44 3.49 -1.39
Taylor Tankersley 7.765 5.244 -6.8 -1.56 -1.39
Chris Waters -3.71 -0.37 -4.08 -1.42
Jon Leicester -8.56 -8.56 -1.43
Micah Bowie 7.378 -3.18 -2.71 -5.88 -1.43
Jhonny Nunez -2.88 -2.88 -1.44
Mike Thompson -15.7 -8.64 -8.64 -1.44
Brian Lawrence -8.88 -8.88 -1.48
Wade Miller -0.33 -8.92 -8.92 -1.49
Chris Tillman -2.98 -2.98 -1.49
Neal Cotts -2.59 -0.23 0.214 -3.05 -3.06 -1.49
Aaron Sele 5.231 -9.01 -9.01 -1.50
Roberto Hernandez 3.502 -9.06 -9.06 -1.51
Randy Flores -7.53 -3.37 -3.34 0.293 -6.42 -1.53
John Rheinecker -2.86 -9.23 -9.23 -1.54
Esteban Loaiza -10.9 -2.29 -3.49 -5.78 -1.55
Alex Hinshaw 3.781 -5.63 -1.85 -1.56
Mike Gosling -1.08 -3.03 -2.14 -5.17 -1.57
Jeff Stevens -3.16 -3.16 -1.58
Jason Johnson -19.8 -4.8 -4.80 -1.60
Eric Milton -1.97 -2.98 -2.21 -5.20 -1.60
Shawn Chacon -23.6 11.54 -10.6 0.92 -1.62
Colby Lewis 0.631 -9.77 -9.77 -1.63
Joe Kennedy 8.916 -9.8 -9.80 -1.63
Dave Williams -13.5 -9.86 -9.86 -1.64
Brian Slocum -1 -4.93 -4.93 -1.64
Chris Smith -6.33 0.841 -5.49 -1.69
Ryan Webb -3.39 -3.39 -1.69
Cedrick Bowers -5.11 -5.11 -1.70
Rick White -5.03 -10.3 -10.28 -1.71
Stephen Randolph -10.5 -10.46 -1.74
Masumi Kuwata -10.5 -10.50 -1.75
Jeff Manship -3.54 -3.54 -1.77
Victor Garate -3.55 -3.55 -1.77
Joe Borowski 5.731 -0.27 -5.21 -5.48 -1.78
Fernando Hernandez -5.38 -5.38 -1.79
Trevor Cahill -3.61 -3.61 -1.80
Jon Switzer 0.268 -7.13 -1.26 -8.39 -1.82
Chris Volstad 13.75 -12.8 0.91 -1.84
Ryan Braun -1.36 -11 -11.03 -1.84
Julio DePaula -11.1 -11.06 -1.84
Bill White 0.276 -5.72 -5.45 -1.86
Armando Benitez 4.724 -7.94 -1.69 -9.63 -1.89
Charlie Zink -5.7 -5.70 -1.90
Greg Burke -3.81 -3.81 -1.90
Kazuo Fukumori -5.72 -5.72 -1.91
Chris Capuano 9.467 -11.5 -11.49 -1.92
Dennis Sarfate 0.424 3.516 -4.76 -1.85 -3.09 -1.93
Andrew Carpenter 0.518 -4.21 -3.69 -1.93
Rick Bauer 11.06 -5.82 -5.82 -1.94
Josh Roenicke -1.28 -3.04 -4.32 -1.95
Matt Maloney -3.9 -3.90 -1.95
Edwin Moreno -3.9 -3.90 -1.95
Eddie Bonine -3.91 -1.34 -5.25 -1.97
Jamey Wright -17.2 8.352 -5.29 -3.22 -0.16 -1.98
Juan Morillo -3.98 -1.66 0.518 -3.81 -4.95 -2.01
Adam Loewen -11.3 3.12 -7.63 -4.51 -2.02
Chad Orvella -8.8 -12.1 -12.15 -2.02
Vicente Padilla 12.21 -19.3 2.817 0.5 -15.98 -2.03
Danny Herrera -2.81 -2.19 -5.00 -2.03
Christopher Leroux -4.07 -4.07 -2.04
Jack Cassel 0.754 -6.49 -5.74 -2.04
Elmer Dessens 3.533 -12.1 -7.19 4.68 -14.58 -2.07
Josh Rupe 6.037 1.682 -5.3 -3.61 -2.09
Ramon Ortiz -36.1 -12.5 -12.52 -2.09
John Patterson -1 -12.5 -12.53 -2.09
Philip Humber 1.086 -2.91 -0.44 -2.99 -6.33 -2.12
Hector Carrasco 7.156 -12.8 -12.76 -2.13
Adam Pettyjohn -6.42 -6.42 -2.14
Victor Marte -4.28 -4.28 -2.14
Shawn Estes -0.26 -6.43 -6.43 -2.14
David Hernandez -4.3 -4.30 -2.15
Paul Shuey -13 -13.01 -2.17
Wes Obermueller -13.1 -13.06 -2.18
Alfredo Figaro -4.39 -4.39 -2.19
Jerome Williams -5.4 -13.2 -13.25 -2.21
Jimmy Barthmaier -6.63 -6.63 -2.21
Victor Zambrano -6.4 -13.3 -13.28 -2.21
Greg Smith -6.79 -6.79 -2.26
Carlos Torres -4.53 -4.53 -2.27
Jon Garland 6.795 9.9 -15.2 2.319 -3.02 -2.27
Tom Gordon 10.99 0.133 -2.73 -2.78 -5.39 -2.28
Hideo Nomo -6.88 -6.88 -2.29
Masahide Kobayashi -0.7 -4.14 -4.83 -2.30
Jonah Bayliss 1.525 -13.9 -13.88 -2.31
Kevin Jepsen -0.73 -4.15 -4.88 -2.32
Arturo Lopez -4.65 -4.65 -2.32
Josh Kinney 4.215 3.624 -7.1 -3.48 -2.34
Zack Segovia -2.38 -3.91 -6.29 -2.35
Dennis Stark -4.73 -4.73 -2.37
J.D. Durbin -14.3 -14.31 -2.39
Marino Salas -7.17 -7.17 -2.39
Lance Broadway 3.847 -2.08 -4.69 -2.92 -2.40
Tim Stauffer 0.911 -16.3 0.633 -15.67 -2.40
Chad Fox -0.3 -4.6 -4.90 -2.40
Mark Mulder -29.4 -12.1 -1.22 -13.28 -2.42
Rafael Perez 0.955 19.37 8.15 -16.7 10.80 -2.42
Darrell Rasner 1.263 0.05 -7.29 -7.24 -2.42
Rocky Cherry -2.66 -5.94 -8.60 -2.42
Armando Gabino -4.86 -4.86 -2.43
Tom Glavine 1.84 -6.08 -4.26 -10.35 -2.44
Rich Thompson -4.3 -4.05 -0.79 -9.14 -2.46
Jamie Walker 11.13 9.513 -10.8 -0.95 -2.21 -2.48
Matt DeSalvo -4.09 -5.45 -9.54 -2.50
Scott Proctor 15.71 8.09 -11.5 -3.45 -2.50
Brent Leach -5.07 -5.07 -2.53
Oscar Villarreal 9.085 -1.39 -6.93 -8.32 -2.54
Donald Veal -5.1 -5.10 -2.55
Rick VandenHurk -13.7 -4.71 2.596 -15.81 -2.56
Chris Sampson 8.289 5.664 -2.68 -5.27 -2.28 -2.58
Patrick Misch 0.543 -0.28 -8.51 0.583 -8.21 -2.59
Glendon Rusch -21.4 -3.41 -2.92 -6.33 -2.60
Chad Paronto 7.74 0.458 0.064 -5.41 -4.89 -2.61
Kei Igawa -9.13 -3.31 -12.44 -2.63
Derrick Turnbow -21.7 0.846 -8.33 -7.49 -2.64
Alfredo Simon -3.08 -3.22 -6.30 -2.64
Casey Fien -5.35 -5.35 -2.67
Joel Peralta 7.214 8.411 -9.98 -1.54 -3.11 -2.70
Clay Buchholz 6.471 -22.9 7.659 -8.81 -2.74
Greg Aquino 2.382 -1.39 -7.98 0.287 -9.08 -2.75
Hunter Jones -5.5 -5.50 -2.75
Denny Bautista -7.6 -6.22 -3.18 -1.32 -10.72 -2.76
Bobby Korecky -0.57 -5.13 -5.71 -2.76
Josh Towers -24.8 -16 -0.19 -16.19 -2.76
Matt Albers -2.02 -12.2 4.906 -4.74 -12.05 -2.77
Scott Schoeneweis 1.796 -8.39 4.935 -6.04 -9.49 -2.77
Sean West -5.57 -5.57 -2.78
Wade LeBlanc -10.2 1.189 -8.99 -2.80
Mike O’Connor -10 -8.4 -8.40 -2.80
Dave Davidson -4.59 -4.14 -8.73 -2.84
Josh Newman 0.162 -8.7 -8.53 -2.87
Elizardo Ramirez -6.73 -4.42 -6.42 -10.84 -2.88
Brad Lidge -7.07 8.891 19.7 -21.9 6.70 -2.90
Kyle Kendrick 11.02 -17.5 2.162 -4.31 -2.91
Bruce Chen -28.1 -5.19 -4.11 -9.30 -2.92
Kameron Loe -5.93 -18.5 0.448 -18.01 -2.93
Rafael Rodriguez -5.86 -5.86 -2.93
Charlie Haeger 0.309 -3.87 -8.93 1.323 -11.47 -2.96
Boone Logan -8.15 0.318 -4.36 -3.12 -7.16 -2.96
Andy Cavazos -17.8 -17.81 -2.97
Bryan Augenstein -5.94 -5.94 -2.97
Billy Traber -12.7 -3.6 -2.98 -2.76 -9.34 -2.97
Jason Davis 3.22 -5.29 -6.36 -11.65 -3.00
Marco Estrada -6.5 -1.77 -8.28 -3.05
Mitch Talbot -9.19 -9.19 -3.06
David Price 2.589 -7.88 -5.29 -3.08
Tony Armas -21.9 -12.4 -3.11 -15.56 -3.11
Antonio Bastardo -6.24 -6.24 -3.12
James McDonald 3.106 -8.32 -5.21 -3.12
Ian Kennedy 4.657 -12.6 0.535 -7.37 -3.14
Gary Glover -2.97 -8.01 -10.98 -3.17
Byung-Hyun Kim -6.43 -19.2 -19.16 -3.19
Mike Bacsik -19.2 -19.19 -3.20
Jack Egbert -6.45 -6.45 -3.23
Shairon Martis -3.36 -4.25 -7.62 -3.25
Dustin Moseley -6.61 5.805 -12.4 -0.25 -6.83 -3.29
Scott Elbert -5.31 -3.05 -8.36 -3.30
Chuck James 10.55 4.988 -12.4 -7.44 -3.31
Pedro Martinez -8.9 2.752 -17.8 4.331 -10.75 -3.32
Runelvys Hernandez -18.3 -10.1 -10.07 -3.36
Jesus Colome -0.78 1.441 -1.42 -6.27 -6.24 -3.37
Hiroki Kuroda 5.493 -10.4 -4.91 -3.37
Jeremy Bonderman 11.16 -7.08 0.684 -4.84 -11.24 -3.37
Jason Schmidt 15.01 -4.58 -5.23 -9.81 -3.38
Sean O’Sullivan -6.77 -6.77 -3.38
Jeff Weaver -35.1 -19.5 -0.26 -19.81 -3.39
Mitchell Boggs -12.5 1.535 -11.00 -3.41
Jose Mesa 11.12 -20.8 -20.77 -3.46
Eric Stults -1.12 -3.12 1.082 -6.62 -8.66 -3.47
Duaner Sanchez 8.683 0.493 -7.28 -6.78 -3.47
Yoslan Herrera -10.5 -10.48 -3.49
David Wells -0.32 -21 -20.95 -3.49
David Pauley -4.6 -10.5 -10.48 -3.49
Warner Madrigal -0.23 -6.86 -7.09 -3.51
Alan Embree 3.778 4.734 -9.38 -2.36 -7.01 -3.52
David Patton -7.06 -7.06 -3.53
Michael Bowden 0.629 -7.5 -6.87 -3.54
Aaron Laffey 2.878 -2.69 -6.27 -6.08 -3.55
Royce Ring 3.504 1.598 -11.6 -10.00 -3.60
Fernando Cabrera -1.68 -10.1 -2.96 -1.87 -14.91 -3.60
Kelvin Jimenez -15.6 -3.16 -18.73 -3.65
Jason Simontacchi -21.9 -21.93 -3.66
Joel Hanrahan -12.2 3.475 -5.59 -14.29 -3.66
Brad Hennessey -2.91 9.451 -15.8 -6.32 -3.68
Graham Taylor -7.47 -7.47 -3.73
Scott Elarton -2.81 -24.6 1.067 -23.49 -3.74
Jack Taschner -14.2 -5.5 -3.42 -3.39 -12.31 -3.75
John Koronka -3.81 -3.06 -6.52 -9.58 -3.77
Winston Abreu -5.79 -7.45 -5.09 -12.54 -3.79
Jorge Julio 1.299 -2.26 3.762 -9.34 -7.83 -3.79
Kirk Saarloos -6.28 -11 -5.89 -16.89 -3.80
Brad Penny 18.72 42.39 -22.5 -6.71 13.15 -3.80
Jess Todd -7.66 -7.66 -3.83
Franquelis Osoria -2.9 0.007 -11.5 -11.52 -3.84
Tim Dillard -5.25 -4.19 -9.44 -3.85
Tom Mastny -0.75 3.73 -13.4 -9.70 -3.85
Brad Mills -7.72 -7.72 -3.86
Craig Stammen -7.85 -7.85 -3.92
Chien-Ming Wang 28.8 28.53 10.15 -24.2 14.53 -3.94
Kevin Mulvey -7.92 -7.92 -3.96
Rodrigo Lopez -27 3.434 -9.1 -5.67 -3.98
Bryan Corey 6.485 3.135 -13.8 -10.66 -4.08
Brett Cecil -8.17 -8.17 -4.09
Junichi Tazawa -8.17 -8.17 -4.09
Mat Latos -8.28 -8.28 -4.14
Anthony Ortega -8.4 -8.40 -4.20
Gary Majewski -0.83 -8.36 -8.56 -16.92 -4.25
Brett Tomko 1.194 -14.3 -15.4 6.486 -23.22 -4.27
Jason Jennings 32.42 -14.7 -9.12 2.439 -21.42 -4.28
Wesley Wright -7.12 -3.82 -10.94 -4.28
Cha Seung Baek 2.92 -2.61 -11.6 -14.19 -4.29
Odalis Perez -14.4 -16.3 -4.74 -21.07 -4.30
Mike Parisi -13 -13.03 -4.34
Jae Weong Seo -8.12 -26.2 -26.21 -4.37
Wilfredo Ledezma 4.514 -11.3 -2.19 -3.52 -17.06 -4.38
Jeff Samardzija 2.156 -10.2 -8.05 -4.39
Dan Meyer -11.7 -17.9 7.072 -22.58 -4.40
Merkin Valdez 3.047 -10.9 -7.81 -4.41
Yusmeiro Petit -14.7 1.398 2.472 -11 -7.16 -4.46
Anthony Claggett -9.23 -9.23 -4.62
Osiris Matos -7.1 -4.55 -11.65 -4.64
Craig Hansen -9.73 -12.7 -0.91 -13.62 -4.69
Santiago Casilla -1.86 0.645 0.903 -10.2 -8.66 -4.70
Armando Galarraga -1.06 15.54 -19.6 -5.11 -4.79
Chris Young 12.9 17.45 1.598 -16.5 2.55 -4.81
Michael Ekstrom -3.93 -7.08 -11.01 -4.85
Greg Maddux 7.716 1.324 -15.2 -13.90 -4.85
Shane Loux 2.269 -11.3 -9.03 -4.89
Ryan Tucker -14.7 -14.74 -4.91
Carlos Villanueva 6.586 9.807 0.136 -13.3 -3.36 -4.97
Clayton Richard -6.71 -5.51 -12.22 -4.99
Mark Lowe 6.061 -0.44 -10 -3.2 -13.67 -5.02
Chris Ray 14.15 2.152 -10.8 -8.64 -5.04
Dave Borkowski -0.09 -4.34 -13.1 -17.41 -5.08
Shawn Hill -2.07 4.647 -14.4 -2.11 -11.89 -5.09
Charlie Morton -13.2 -1.38 -14.59 -5.09
Josh Fogg -7.76 -1.14 -24.6 6.565 -19.16 -5.10
Sean Henn 0.169 -10.7 -4.1 -3.94 -18.77 -5.13
Justin Lehr -7.89 -10.3 -10.31 -5.15
R.J. Swindle -1.39 -9.39 -10.79 -5.16
Anthony Swarzak -10.4 -10.37 -5.18
Virgil Vasquez -6.52 -8.25 -14.78 -5.21
Kris Benson -5.79 -10.5 -10.46 -5.23
Zach Duke 10.23 -12.6 -15 3.733 -23.92 -5.25
Tyler Yates 4.121 -11.1 -0.97 -6.25 -18.33 -5.30
Zach Jackson -5.84 -7.42 -5.71 -13.12 -5.32
Logan Kensing 0.781 5.289 2.728 -14.2 -6.22 -5.33
Mike Lincoln 1.483 -11.7 -10.20 -5.35
P.J. Walters -10.7 -10.71 -5.36
Wilton Lopez -10.7 -10.72 -5.36
Bobby Parnell -0.59 -10.4 -11.02 -5.41
Brian Bass -11.9 -2.89 -14.83 -5.42
Horacio Ramirez -0.6 -28.2 1.009 -2.14 -29.31 -5.43
Buddy Carlyle -13.4 8.358 -12 -17.05 -5.43
Paul Janish -11.2 -11.18 -5.59
Jimmy Gobble 0.201 6.042 -14.9 -3.43 -12.28 -5.67
Casey Fossum -14.1 -31.6 -2.81 1.033 -33.40 -5.69
Levale Speigner -22.5 -5.9 -28.44 -5.72
Justin Germano 0.009 -10.5 -12 -22.50 -5.75
Matt Belisle 5.466 -9.35 -10.1 -1.64 -21.12 -5.75
Billy Buckner -1.71 2.646 -12.7 -11.78 -5.76
Anthony Reyes -3.57 -24 10.31 -10.5 -24.18 -5.82
Greg Reynolds -17.6 -17.56 -5.85
Chris Lambert -6.11 -7.64 -13.76 -5.86
Luis Perdomo -11.7 -11.73 -5.87
Matt Harrison -5.64 -8 -13.64 -5.88
Carlos Carrasco -11.8 -11.84 -5.92
Brad Thompson 6.852 -11.2 -6.01 -4.18 -21.40 -5.96
Edgar Gonzalez 5.49 -4.56 -6.44 -6.13 -17.13 -5.97
Kyle Davies -25.7 -32.7 1.342 -1.98 -33.32 -5.99
Mark Hendrickson 9.619 -3.08 -17.5 0.49 -20.12 -6.11
Eulogio De La Cruz -4.18 -15.3 -0.65 -20.11 -6.11
Mike Burns -4.09 -12.2 -12.24 -6.12
Vin Mazzaro -12.3 -12.26 -6.13
Cesar Carrillo -12.3 -12.27 -6.14
Yasuhiko Yabuta -1.59 -11.2 -12.83 -6.15
Jay Marshall -12.8 -8.1 -20.93 -6.19
Mark Redman -7.44 -15.7 -10.8 -26.48 -6.21
Garrett Mock 1.134 -13.2 -12.11 -6.24
Matt Chico -18.9 -9.31 -28.25 -6.26
Clay Hensley 5.334 -18.7 -9.97 -28.62 -6.43
Mike Pelfrey -4.15 -13.3 12.65 -17 -17.63 -6.50
Scott Richmond 2.124 -14.4 -12.32 -6.52
Blaine Boyer -2.64 -0.31 -9.97 -6.4 -16.68 -6.57
Steve Trachsel -16.3 -0.32 -19.8 -20.12 -6.65
Luis Ayala 4.57 -14.7 -5.01 -15.18 -6.66
Ryan Feierabend 1.906 -14.9 -12.7 -27.60 -6.72
David Purcey -7.04 -8.79 -15.83 -6.74
Jorge Sosa -15.7 -4.12 -13.2 -3.33 -20.64 -6.75
Mike Hampton -1.3 -12.8 -14.09 -6.83
Tomokazu Ohka -6.78 -9.19 -10.6 -19.81 -6.84
Russ Ortiz -23.7 -7.07 -11.4 -18.50 -6.89
Rich Hill 2.518 13.81 1.056 -19.2 -4.30 -6.93
Mike Maroth 2.882 -41.8 -41.79 -6.97
Hayden Penn -22.8 -14 -14.00 -7.00
Tom Gorzelanny 6.809 22.58 -24.3 -5.31 -7.08 -7.01
Joe Martinez -14.1 -14.10 -7.05
Trevor Bell -14.4 -14.42 -7.21
Collin Balester -11.8 -6.6 -18.42 -7.24
Edward Mujica 4.287 -4.05 -8.62 -7.6 -20.27 -7.35
Jose Contreras 9.139 -19.1 8.624 -14.3 -24.76 -7.45
Lucas French -15.2 -15.21 -7.60
Glen Perkins 2.102 4.736 -9.36 -10.9 -15.50 -7.77
Phil Dumatrait -18.5 -7.2 -4.73 -30.45 -7.85
Josh Banks -2.12 -8.32 -9.56 -20.00 -7.91
Bartolo Colon -13.8 -19 -2.47 -8 -29.51 -8.00
Yorman Bazardo 6.153 -5.96 -14.1 -13.90 -8.01
Carl Pavano -0.53 -2.73 -14.1 -17.38 -8.06
David Huff -16.1 -16.15 -8.07
Jason Vargas -17 -9.98 -13.5 -23.46 -8.40
Johnny Cueto -5.27 -13.4 -18.70 -8.47
Juan Rincon 9.92 -9.1 -11.9 -6.32 -27.30 -8.64
Jonathan Sanchez -6.16 -7.55 -12.4 -6.46 -26.46 -8.64
Clayton Mortensen -17.7 -17.67 -8.84
Jay Bergmann -18.7 -4.87 -22.1 -1.35 -28.35 -8.86
Chris Bootcheck -8.14 -0.27 -9.98 -11.1 -21.31 -8.90
Sergio Mitre -6.72 -0.52 -18 -18.49 -9.07
John Van Benschoten -21.7 -16.4 -38.05 -9.07
Matt Morris -19.2 -17.6 -19.4 -36.95 -9.39
Barry Zito 18.56 -4.09 -27.2 0.394 -30.93 -9.56
Tim Redding 5.412 -16.3 -10.2 -21.04 -9.61
Brian Bannister 0.399 13.18 -33.3 -1.45 -21.54 -9.62
Scott Olsen 0.779 -27.5 -1.26 -9.45 -38.26 -9.74
Bob McCrory -8.56 -14 -22.57 -9.86
Kevin Hart 4.849 -10 -15 -20.17 -10.03
Francisco Liriano 34.79 -3.87 -17.6 -21.45 -10.08
Walter Silva -20.2 -20.20 -10.10
Julian Tavarez 2.771 -14.9 -12.7 -6.98 -34.51 -10.19
Miguel Batista 9.516 9.76 -27.5 -5.48 -23.22 -10.28
Todd Wellemeyer 7.013 -9.53 11.92 -25.4 -22.96 -10.29
Kevin Correia 8.865 13.73 -26.8 -7.51 -20.60 -10.40
Jeff Karstens 3.638 -12.2 -5.37 -13.3 -30.84 -10.46
Chris Jakubauskas -21 -21.02 -10.51
Ian Snell 5.341 22.18 -21.8 -14 -13.53 -10.53
Derek Holland -21.5 -21.45 -10.73
Sean Gallagher -7.37 -20 -5.68 -33.07 -10.74
Dontrelle Willis 11.52 -9.55 -11 -11 -31.53 -10.76
Dana Eveland -10.6 -5.06 -6.92 -15.5 -27.52 -10.92
Oliver Perez -26.9 -5.24 -5.66 -16.8 -27.67 -11.14
Luis Mendoza 4.915 -31.1 -3.36 -29.52 -11.22
Homer Bailey -5.83 -15.2 -10.5 -31.52 -11.29
Brian Moehler -32.1 4.984 -5.85 -20.5 -21.40 -11.39
Jason Berken -22.8 -22.81 -11.40
Sidney Ponson -17.4 -13.5 -7.91 -13.2 -34.60 -11.49
Felipe Paulino -3.74 -21.9 -25.69 -11.60
Lenny DiNardo -12.1 -8.34 -11.1 -13.6 -33.02 -11.88
Kip Wells -6.15 -35.6 -6.86 -7.31 -49.78 -11.88
Jo-Jo Reyes -14 -12.8 -11.1 -37.92 -12.15
Andrew Miller -3.58 -6.97 -22.2 -8.03 -37.18 -12.57
Radhames Liz -6.78 -22.1 -8.73 -37.62 -12.87
Jeremy Sowers 13.69 -8.68 -20.2 -9.51 -38.44 -12.95
Nate Robertson 14.41 1.617 -28.3 -7.65 -34.36 -13.00
Brian Burres 2.397 -11.9 -21.1 -8.43 -41.47 -13.24
Chad Gaudin 10.29 -7.96 -7.88 -21.1 -36.95 -14.51
Fausto Carmona -3.73 45.49 -16.4 -33.3 -4.21 -14.53
Gio Gonzalez -21.6 -15.3 -36.92 -14.87
Brandon Backe 5.043 3.257 -34.2 -8.07 -39.03 -14.90
Josh Geer 5.042 -33.4 -28.32 -15.00
Boof Bonser 3.45 -24 -33.1 -57.04 -15.02
Micah Owings 3.117 -13 -22.8 -32.71 -15.23
Luke Hochevar 2.884 -17.7 -20.7 -35.54 -15.78
Daniel Cabrera -1.69 -16.5 -13.5 -17.1 -47.11 -15.81
Adam Eaton 1.315 -31.9 -12.2 -15 -59.04 -16.86
David Bush 0.242 -8.84 -1.34 -31.7 -41.89 -17.77
Braden Looper 8.623 -12.2 -1.95 -32.7 -46.82 -19.03
Carlos Silva -35.8 1.897 -32.1 -18 -48.14 -19.36
Garrett Olson -9.35 -29.4 -18.4 -57.15 -20.55
Livan Hernandez -13.4 -3.16 -38.4 -15.3 -56.86 -20.98
Jeff Suppan -0.81 -0.96 -24.1 -31.2 -56.35 -23.83
Manny Parra 1.253 -10.1 -44.3 -53.15 -25.31
Andy Sonnanstine -18.1 -23.4 -37 -78.54 -29.34

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Filed under Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox, Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Indians, Colorado Rockies, Detroit Tigers, Florida Marlins, Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota Twins, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Oakland A's, Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals, Tampa Bay Rays, Texas Rangers, Toronto Blue Jays, Washington Nationals

February 21, 2010

Top NL Left Fielders in 2009

Ryan Braun (MIL):  A threat to win the triple crown at some point, and now a tolerable fielder (much better in left than at third base), Ryan Braun is one of the five most valuable properties in baseball.  (148.3 Runs Created, 1.84 Runs Saved = 150.09 Total Run Production)

Jason Bay, had he played in the NL, would rank here.  The Mets did okay with this signing…

Matt Holliday (OAK/STL):  After arriving in STL, he hit like Albert Pujols and fielded like Chris Duncan.  He’s not usually that bad a fielder, so I wouldn’t worry about it.  (126.5 Runs Created, -13.4 Runs Saved = 113.1 Total Run Production)

Nyjer Morgan (PIT/WAS):  In Pittsburgh, Morgan played left and was supurb defensively and acceptable offensively.  Moved to Washington, Morgan played in center and was supurb both ways.  A late start to his career because he started as a hockey player, he’s the type of player that anybody would be happy to have around.  I don’t think he’s going to be a 100 run producer every year, but for the next three or four years, he might just be a top flight ballplayer.  (76.2 Runs Created, 26.9 Runs Saved = 103.08 Total Run Production)

Josh Willingham (WAS):  Forever, Josh Willingham has been among the worst defensive outfielders in baseball.  Last year, either (a) his back was feeling WAY better than it had been in recent years or (b) Nationals pitchers allowed an ungodly number of fly balls to left than in previous seasons.  Regardless, Willingham had a solid season with the bat in a tough place to hit and caught more than his share of fly balls.  As someone who liked him when he was with the Marlins, to see Willingham exceed our expectations is fun.  (78.5 Runs Created, 5.7 Runs Saved = 84.23 Total Run Production)

Raul Ibanez (PHI):  At some point in the early summer, it looked like Ibanez would hit 50 homers.  And then the aches of being mid-to-late 30s kicked in and things changed.  Still, Ibanez was a valuable performer and contributed to the Phillies success.  I DON’T see him as much better than this in 2010, but if he stays in the remarkable shape he’s in, he should be fine.  (96.0 Runs Created, -13.2 Runs Saved = 82.86 Total Run Production)

Adam Dunn (WAS):  Also a first baseman, Dunn really should be a DH.  One of the most feared hitters, Dunn just gives a ton of runs back defensively such that his overall value suffers.  In the AL, that wouldn’t matter.  (115.0 Runs Created, -33.54 Runs Saved = 81.45 Total Run Production)

Daniel Murphy (NYM):  Like Dunn, plays a lot of first base but isn’t an embarrassment here.  Not really the offensive weapon you’d like at the position.  (71.5 Runs Created, 10.0 Runs Saved = 81.44 Total Run Production)

Chase Headley (SD):  Living in San Diego puts a crimp in his stats, but he’s not a horrible hitter.  He’s really an above average hitter, but a slightly below average outfielder.  The net is just okay, though – and on most teams he would be a fourth outfielder.  (86.0 Runs Created, -4.8 Runs Saved = 81.17 Total Run Production)

Chris Coghlan (FLA):  Two incredible months of two hit games, day after day…  Didn’t come up until May, took about a month to figure things out.  He’s miscast as a left fielder – had played the infield pretty much his whole life until called to the big leagues.  The Marlins hope that he’s their leadoff man for the next three to five years – until he’s due for arbitration, that is.  (86.4 Runs Created, -8.4 Runs Saved = 78.02 Total Run Production)

Carlos Lee (HOU):  See Adam Dunn.  Carlos Lee can hit, even though he’s showing signs of aging, but he doesn’t move around very well anymore and needs to be a DH soon.  (108.2 Runs Created, -31.8 Runs Saved = 76.32 Total Run Production)

Manny Ramirez (LAD):  Cheater.  I’m betting he’s been a cheater for a long time now.  Notice how all the cheaters play for Tony LaRussa and Joe Torre (as well as in Boston, where this was also encouraged)?  People talk about how steroid use will keep Mark McGwire out of the Hall of Fame.  Will it keep Tony LaRussa out of the Hall?  It should.  (84.3 Runs Created, -10.7 Runs Saved = 73.58 Total Run Production)

Juan Pierre (LAD):  When he bats over .300 and gets on base, he can be a productive offensive player.  In left field, where he still has far more range than most left fielders, he comes out as a positive.  If the White Sox try him in center, where he doesn’t really have that kind of range, and Pierre hits .280 and doesn’t add a few walks, then he’s a bust.  (65.3 Runs Created, 1.2 Runs Saved = 66.50 Total Run Production.

Seth Smith (COL):  Showed a balanced set of skills – he didn’t get as many at bats, but the rates were much like Troy Tulowitzki.  And, defensively, he was a step up over Matt Holliday.  If he keeps this up, he’ll be a force in Colorado.  (58.8 Runs Created, 7.5 Runs Saved = 66.29 Total Run Production)

Fernando Tatis (NYM):  Played all over for the Mets and was surprisingly good defensively.  My personal take on it was that it was (a) another year in the majors where he felt more comfortable, and (b) a bit lucky.  He also hit pretty well, batting .282 with a touch of power.  Had he done this a few years ago, he might not have disappeared.  (53.3 Runs Created, 13.9 Runs Saved = 66.20 Total Run Production)

Matt Diaz (ATL):  His bat returned, but his defensive range slipped.  Still, a very valuable performer for Atlanta and probably should have been a regular for a couple of years now.  (77.5 Runs Created, -14.5 Runs Saved = 63.02 Total Run Production)

Alfonso Soriano (CHC):  A miserable season for one of the highly priced players on the Cubs roster – but probably isn’t going to give any of that money back.  Below average baserunner these days to go along with a fading bat and abysmal OBP.  Holds his own with the leather, but if the Cubs are going to challenge for the crown, this guy has to make a comeback.  I just don’t think, at this point in his career, that a comeback is possible.  Sam Fuld, who got a lot of innings in the outfield, would be a better leadoff hitter with his .400 OBP.   (59.0 Runs Created, 1.5 Runs Saved = 60.50 Total Run Production)

Garrett Anderson (ATL):  Did about what I expected – which was slip a little further and struggle defensively.  While Anderson is still a better hitter than most people who try to play baseball, he’s now merely league average as a regular.  To be honest, he’s a veteran bench player at best these days.  (65.0 Runs Created, -8.0 Runs Saved = 57.03 Total Run Production)

Carlos Gonzalez (COL):  Fourth outfielder on this roster, but a good one.  Could be a starter on other teams.  (49.0 Runs Created, 4.7 Runs Saved = 53.75 Total Run Production)

Gerardo Parra (ARI):  Called up mid-season, Parra should have room to grow.  Despite the decent batting average (.290), he’s got a lousy OBP and and marginal power – which left him slightly below average in terms of runs created per 27 outs made.  That being said, a second season might be 10 – 15% better – more comfortable in the outfield and at the plate – and if he’s better, Parra worth playing.  Besides, Parra turns 23 in May and made the jump from AA to the majors – all while hitting .290 – those are the things you look for in a prospect.  (56.0 Runs Created, -2.5 Runs Saved = 53.49 Total Run Production)

Jeremy Hermida (FLA):  Now in Boston where he can take two strikes and always bat behind in the count there instead.  Hermida is actually mobile, but he’s awkward and uncomfortable diving or playing the wall.  In Florida, where the wall is a mini-monster in left field, this was a problem and it showed up in the way he plays.  Having watched him for a few years now, the issue is one of confidence and aggression.  Someone needs to get it in his head that it’s okay to look for a pitch to drive earlier in the count and give it a rip – and that diving for a ball from time to time won’t hurt him.  Otherwise, he just strikes you as someone who has loads of talent but is too passive to take advantage of it.  Chris Coghlan is a patient hitter, too – but when he sees a pitch he can hit, attacks it.  Hermida doesn’t attack anything.  (55.9 Runs Created, -8.7 Runs Saved = 47.20 Total Run Production)

Fred Lewis (SF):  Drew a few walks, but he doesn’t hit for a high average or hit for much power, hence his low rating here.  (40.7 Runs Created, 5.7 Runs Saved = 46.38 Total Run Production)

Jonny Gomes (CIN):  Had a really good year with the bat, but really isn’t a fielder.  I was surprised that Cincy didn’t just scoop the guy up and keep him around, though, but the Reds haven’t always been the brightest of franchises for a while now.  (52.9 Runs Created, -8.5 Runs Saved = 44.43 Total Run Production)

Ryan Spilborghs (COL):  Useful fourth or fifth outfielder who got 300+ innings in left.  Seth Smith earned the job for 2010, though.  (40 Runs Created, 0.1 Run Saved = 40.01 Total Run Production)

Laynce Nix (CIN):  The other half of the left field platoon – Gomes and Nix combineed for 35 homers and 97 RBI – which would rank pretty well up this list.  Nix is younger and a bit more mobile, but I’m not sure I’d take him over Gomes.  Nix has had nearly three full seasons and his career batting mark is .236 with no OBP to speak of.  (43.8 Runs Created, -4.7 Runs Saved = 39.09 Total Run Production)

Wladimir Balentien (SEA/CIN):  Overrated prospect who played pretty well after arriving in Cincinnati.  There’s always hope.  (32.6 Runs Created, 5.8 Runs Saved = 38.3 Total Run Production)

Gary Sheffield (NYM):  The man can hit.  Can’t run much anymore, but still has a smoking hot bat.  Somebody will likely give him a shot, but he’s running out of teams to infuriate.  What do you make of a guy with 500 career homers, and might still have an outside shot at 3000 hits (he’s at 2689), may get past 1700 RBI this year and 1800 for his career, and has more than 250 stolen bases?  If I were San Diego or Pittsburgh or Kansas City, I’d give him a job and leave him alone.  (47.0 Runs created, -9.1 Runs Saved = 37.95 Total Run Production)

Eugenio Velez (SF):  See Fred Lewis.  Andres Torres is better than both of them…  (36.4 Runs Created, 0.5 Runs Saved = 36.9 Total Run Production)

Eric Byrnes (ARI):  The body is finally giving out on the old warrior.  Now in Seattle where he’ll be a fun fifth outfielder.  Still plays great defense…  (24.5 Runs Created, 8.3 Runs Saved = 32.85 Total Run Production)

Lastings Millege (PIT):  The National League’s answer to Delmon Young.  Uninspired ballplayer who hasn’t taken that next step forward.  (31.5 Runs Created, -0.8 Runs Saved = 30.7 Total Run Production)

Chris Duncan (STL/BOS AAA):  Didn’t hit enough, can’t cover any ground.  Needs to launch a new career as a DH or else it’s over and over fast.  (32.2 Runs Created, -15.0 Runs Saved = 17.17 Total Run Production)

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Filed under Adam Dunn, Albert Pujols, Alfonso Soriano, Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox, Carlos Gonzalez, Carlos Lee, Chase Headley, Chicago Cubs, Chris Coghlan, Chris Duncan, Cincinnati Reds, Colorado Rockies, Daniel Murphy, Eric Byrnes, Eugenio Velez, Fernando Tatis, Florida Marlins, Fred Lewis, Garrett Anderson, Gary Sheffield, Gerrardo Parra, Houston Astros, Jason Bay, Jeremy Hermida, Jonny Gomes, Josh Willingham, Juan Pierre, Lastings Milledge, Laynce Nix, Los Angeles Dodgers, Manny Ramirez, Matt Diaz, Matt Holliday, Milwaukee Brewers, New York Mets, Nyjer Morgan, Oakland A's, Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, Raul Ibanez, Ryan Braun, Ryan Spilborgs, Sam Fuld, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners, Seth Smith, St. Louis Cardinals, Troy Tulowitzki, Washington Nationals, Wladimir Balentien

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